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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-03-16 12:14:55 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel in 1.5740 and is expected to decline further. However, in case these levels are broken down, the significant potential will be revealed resulting int he beginning of  a bullish trend.

Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but as long as the resistance has not been passed through, the pair is likely to decline.  Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.

Proceeding from the previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will has broken its resistance level 1.5740 with 1.5800 and 1.5820 seen as first targets. If the level 1.5720 is broken down, the proposed scenario will be reversed.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-03-16 12:11:31 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel in the point 1.3100 and is likely to initiate a decline. However, a breakdown of these levels will reveal a significant potential beginning a bullish trend.

Technical indicators do not provide clears signals but as long as the resistance level remains unbroken, the decline is most likley to take place.  Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.

According to the previous situation, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will has broken its resistance level 1.3100 with a 1st objective seen at 1.3160 and 1.3180 levels. If the level 1.3080 is broken down, the prospect scenario will be reversed. 



 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Wave Analysis for March 6, 2012

2012-03-16 12:07:27 (читать в оригинале)

 

Wave marking analysis:
Despite all the efforts, yesterday the GBP/USD pair remained in the range between 1.5630-1.5720. Proceeding from the current wave situation, the pair is almost equal conditions for resumption either for the descending movement or for the quotes growth towards the February’s maximum (1.5990). At the same time such controversial situation allows the pair to remain in this range for some time forming the more complicated wave structure of the wave 2 within the wave 3 (or the wave C).

 

Targets for the variant with the wave 3 in 3 or C:
1.5609 and lower – 76.4% according to Fibonacci

Targets for the variant with the wave 2 in 3 or C:
1.5719 – 50.0% according to Fibonacci
1.5747 – 61.8% according to Fibonacci

General conclusions and trading recommendations:
Corrections in the wave marking made it similar to the one of the euro/dollar. The intermediary target for the prospect wave 3 in 3 or C is seen at the Fibonacci level 1.5609 corresponding to 76.4% according to Fibonacci or lower. The MACD divergence stimulated the ascending movement of the pair within the wave 2 in 3 or C. The wave 3 in 3 or C is expected to bring the pair to the low of the wave 1 in 3 or C. The new descending channel, where the price is located, indicates the prospect continuation of the downside movement. But likewise in the euro/dollar wave marking, there is a possibility that the current wave marking will be corrected. Thus, the situation is still considered as controversial.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Wave Analysis for March 16, 2012

2012-03-16 12:01:41 (читать в оригинале)

 

The AUD/USD pair has finished three waves of the 4th order to 1.0423. Presently the upside correction is developing that includes subwaves A and B of the 1st order.
The downside targets are calculated according to the expansion grids 1.0856-1.0506-1.0669, 1.0669-1.0423-1.0554.
Nearest supports:
- 1.0402 = 61.8% expansion
- 1.0322 = 100%
- 1.0308 = 100%
If the pair continues the upside movement, the nearest resistances will be provided by the correction grids 1.0856-1.0423, 1.0669-1.0423 and expansion grids 1.0423-1.0554-1.0509.
Resistances:
- 1.0575 = 61.8%
- 1.0588-90 = accumulation of levels - 38.2% and expansion 61.8%
- 1.0640 = accumulation of levels - 50% and expansion 100%
- 1.0691 = 61.8%
- 1.0721 = expansion 161.8%
Direction of deals: SELL-deals are recommended as long as the pair is lower than 1.0554.

 

 

Wave levels (marking):
1st order (the lowest) – dotted line
2nd, 3rd order and higher - line weight 1, 2 etc.
The same is for Fibonacci grids.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count and Fibonacci levels for March 16, 2012

2012-03-16 11:37:08 (читать в оригинале)

The AUD/USD pair  is developing the potential corrective wave B of the medium term uptrend (coral in the chart) from 1.0856 comprising three subwaves (magenta in the chart). The potential subwave A is developing against the downtrend from 1.0423.

Now the upside targets are Fibonacci retracements 1.0856-1.0423, 1.0669-1.0423 and expansions 1.0423-1.0554-1.0509.

Resistances:

- 1.0575 = .618 retracement
- 1.0588-90 = confluence area of .382 ret and contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0640 = confluence area of objective point (OP) and .50 ret
- 1.0691 = .618 ret

If the downtrend resumes its movement, the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements 0.9861-1.0856, and expansions 1.0856-1.0509-1.0669, 1.0669-1.0423-1.0554.

Supports:

- 1.0402 = COP
- 1.0358 = .50 ret
- 1.0322 = OP
- 1.0303 = OP

Overbought/Oversold

The larger wave is now moving downwards, so it is better to open short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (20-30 pips above the current prices). Consider the possibilities of short positions at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com