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USD/JPY Wave Analysis for March 19, 2012

2012-03-19 15:03:34 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Wave marking analysis:
In the course of Friday’s trading operations the USD/JPY pair continued the formation of the inner wave structure of the prospect wave 4 in 3 (in 3 or C). Proceeding from the current wave structure we can assume that the pair is expected to test the level of the figure 84 and having defined the wave 5 in 3 will rapidly move to the lower limit of the ascending channel. At the same time it is possible that the Friday’s high is already considered as the high of the shortened wave 5. In any case the strong MACD divergence points at the necessity of more continuous and deeper correction.

Targets for the variant with the wave 5 in 3 in 3 or C:
83.84 and higher – 200.0% according to Fibonacci

Targets for the variant with a range of downside corrective waves:
83.22 – 161.8% according to Fibonacci
82.65 – 127.2% according to Fibonacci

General conclusions and trading recommendations:
At the moment the new ascending part of the trend continues its formation with the target seen at the level of figure 85 of the wave 3 or C. Proceeding from significantly shortened wave 2 or B we can define the force of the current trend and its ability for further elaboration that will result in the strengthening of American currency against Japanese, as we can actually see. The inner wave marking of the wave 3 or C indicates the possible continuation of the upward part of the trend with targets 83.84 and higher, corresponding to 200.0% of Fibonacci. The current correction within the wave 4 is not considered as too deep.

 

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Elliott Wave Count for March 19, 2012

2012-03-19 14:40:05 (читать в оригинале)

Market Overview
On Friday during the European session the USD/CAD pair was trading in a upward trend and reached resistance level 0.9940. During the New York session the USD/CAD pair pushed 40 pips lower before the price continued the movement within the bullish mood. The USD/CAD pair finished Friday's deals at 0.9918 level. Today in the early Asian session we could observe the USD/CAD pair trading in the bullish mood.Today the USD/CAD pair is expected to test 0.9950 level.Also it is necessary to consider the data concerning the CAD Wholesale Sales m/m that could affect the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 0.9878 (S2) 0.9894 (S1) 0.9903 (PP) 0.9918 (R1) 0.9934 (R2) 0.9943 (R3) 0.9958

USD/CAD Elliott Wave Analysis
The USD/CAD pair has finished the wave 1 (colored pink) of the bigger C wave (colored blue) in the point 0.9946 and wave 2 (colored pink) in the point 0.9880. Presently we can observe the extended  wave 3 (colored pink). In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with help of Fibonacci extension (0.9871-0.9946-0.9880) with first Take Profit at level 0.9984 (138.2% of the wave 1) and second Take Profit at 1.0000 (161.8% of the wave 3). For Stop Loss we can use the invalidation point at level 0.9871.

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long position at levels 0.9930 with Stop Loss at 0.9871, Take Profit at 0.9984 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0000 are recommended.
 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count for March 19, 2012

2012-03-19 14:38:41 (читать в оригинале)

Market Overview
On Friday during the European session the AUD/USD pair was trading in a downward trend and reached the support level 1.0510 (50 EMA). During the New York session the AUD/USD pair pushed to the 1.0597 level (4 Days high). The AUD/USD pair has finished Friday's trading day few pips lower at 1.0588 level.Today during the Asian session we could observe the continuation of the bullish mood. After RBA Gov Stevens Speaks we saw this major pair hitting new high at 1.0619 level. Today the AUD/USD is expected to test the 1.500 support level.

Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 1.0477 (S2) 1.0511 (S1) 1.0531 (PP) 1.0565 (R1) 1.0599 (R2) 1.0619 (R3) 1.0653

AUD/USD Elliott Wave Analysis
The AUD/USD pair has finished the wave A (colored pink) of the bigger wave B (colored blue) in the point 1.0619. Presently we can observe the beginning of the wave B (colored pink). In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave B retraces 50% or 61.8% of the wave A we can define the potential targets with the help of Fibonacci retracement (1.0422-1.0619) with First Take Profit at 1.0522 (50% of wave (A)) and Second Take Profit at 1.0498(61.8% of wave (A)). For Stop Loss we can use 1.0620 resistance level.

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why Short position at levels 1.0570 with Stop Loss at 1.0620, Take Profit at 1.0522 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0498 are recommended.

 

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis and Trading recommendations for March 19, 2012

2012-03-19 12:19:37 (читать в оригинале)

4Н

General situation:
On March 19 the USD/CHF pair began the downside correction and fixed under the Kijun-Sen. As a result, the signal for Sell-deals was fromed. Presently the signal is weak, as the Ichimoku Cloud is considered as a strong barrier. The current signal for Sell-deals is confirmed and weak as the Chinkou Span is located below the price chart and the price is above the Ichimoku Cloud. Thus, the targets for the descending movement are seen at the first support level 0.9084. It is recommended to open the short positions only if the price passes through the Ichimoku Cloud, strengthening the current signal for Sell-deals. In case this level has been overcome, the new target for bearish trading – the second support level 0.9012 - will be available. The descending movement remains the same as long as the price is below the Kijun-Sen (0.9235). While bullish trading above this line it is recommended to place the Stop Loss. If the price goes higher than this line, the signal for Sell-deals will be weakened and the further elaboration of the downside movement will be questioned. Chinkou Span remains below the price chart confirming the current signal for Sell-deals and indicating the bearish mood on the USD/CHF market. Bollinger Bands shows the beginning of the new downside movement, lines are slightly expanded and directed downwards. Therefore, it is recommended to consider the short positions below the Ichimoku Cloud. MACD is directed downwards indicating the current descending movement. Thus, the indicator enables to open new sell orders but only after the strenghtening of the current Dead Cross.

Trading recommendations:
On the USD/CHF market it is recommended to consider short positions with the point 0.9084 seen as target, but only after the price is fixed below the Ichimoku Cloud. If the price passes through this level, the targets for Sell-deals will be seen at the 0.9012 level. Stop Loss is to be placed above 0.9235; in case this line goes downward, it will be possible to replace Stop Loss after it. While opening the short positions the MACD is expected to indicate the downside movement. With profits of 50-60 pips Stop Loss can be placed to the zero area. Take Profits are to be placed  higher than the target levels.

 

Apart from the technical picture it is necessary to consider the fundamental data and the time of its release.

Explanations to the picture:
Ichimoku Indicator:
Tenkan-Sen – red line
Kijun-Sen – blue line
Senkou Span A – light brown dotted line
Senkou Span B – light blue dotted line
Chinkou Span – green line
Senkou Span B – violet dotted line
Bollinger Bands:
3 yellow lines
MACD Indicator:
Red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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IBM Shares Survey according to the Point and Figure Charting for March 19, 2012

2012-03-19 11:11:01 (читать в оригинале)

 

Having overcome the strong resistance level 200.8 IBM shares continued the ascending movement.

Presently the main target is seen at the resistance level 208.0. In case this level has been overcome, the way to the point 209.0 will open.

The computer sector chart remains within the Bullish confirmation formation indicating the purchasers force.

The point 197.2 is considered as the strong support level. In case it has been passed through, the current signal for Buy-deals will be cancelled and the main trend will change to downward.

Today it is recommended to buy IBM shares.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com