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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-03-23 13:18:47 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate is presently testing the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel in 1.5890 and is likely to initiate a decline. However, a breakdown of these levels will reveal significant potential starting a bullish trend.

Technical indicators provide signals for Buy-deals but approaching to the overbuy zone confirms the assumptions of a decline. Bollinger bands are much discarded due to the strong increase that took place these days. The situation is likely to stabilize soon.

According to the previous situation, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will has broken its resistance in 1.5890 with 1.5950 and 1.5970 seen as first objectives. A breakdown of the 1.5870 level will reverse this scenario.


 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-03-23 13:15:59 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium term bullish channel in 1.3280 indicating a possible decline. However, a breakdown of these levels will enable the reaching of  the upper limit of its channel in the point 1.3350.

Technical indicators provide signals for BUY-deals but approaching to the overbuy zone confirms the prospect decline. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.

Proceeding from the previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will has broken its resistance in 1.3280 with 1st objectives seen at the  1.3330 and 1.3350 levels. If the level 1.3260 is broken, the prospect scenario will be invalidated.  



 

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Wave Analysis for March 23, 2012

2012-03-23 11:58:19 (читать в оригинале)

 

Wave marking analysis:
Yesterday the USD/CHF pair has formed the wave structure that presently looks like an uprising correction within waves A, B and C. Thus, we can suppose that the descending part of the trend depicted on the chart between March 16 and 21, is the 3rd wave of the more continuous 5-wave structure. If that proves to be true, the yesterday’s high is the top of its 4th wave and the quotes decline that took place at the end of the day will probably take place within the wave 5 moving towards the targets located near levels 0.9040 – 0.9000.

 

Targets for the variant with the wave 5 of the descending part of the trend:

0.9038 – 127.2% according to Fibonacci
0.8993 – 161.8% according to Fibonacci

Targets for the variant with the wave 4 or first waves of the new ascending part of the trend:

0.9166 – 50.0% according to Fibonacci
0.9187 – 61.8% according to Fibonacci
0.9213 – 76.4% according to Fibonacci

General conclusions and trading recommendations:
The current waves are supposedly related to the wave 4 of the descending part of the trend. Though taking into account certain changes they can be related to the first waves of the uprising part of the trend. Yesterday’s price growth points at the formation of the wave 4 with 0.9166, 0.9187 and 0.9213 as targets. When the wave 4 is completed, the downside movement is very likely to resume within the wave 5 with targets seen below the wave 3 (or C) lows.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/JPY Elliott Wave Count and Fibonacci Levels for March 23, 2012

2012-03-23 10:59:32 (читать в оригинале)

The GBP/JPY pair is developing the corrective wave B of the medium term uptrend from the point 133.42 (royal blue in the chart). This wave includes  two subwaves (magenta in the chart); a corrective subwave B is developing from 130.02.

The downside targets are Fibonacci retracements 126.48-133.42.

Supports:

- 129.95 = .50 retracement
- 129.13 = .618 ret

The upside targets are Fibonacci expansions 126.48-133.42-130.02 and retracements 133.42-130.02.

Resistances:

- 131.32 = .382 ret
- 131.72 = .50 ret
- 132.12 = .618 ret
- 134.31 = contracted objective point (COP)

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving down, so it is preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (20-35 pips below the current prices). Watch for the opportunities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count and Fibonacci Levels for March 23, 2012

2012-03-23 10:56:38 (читать в оригинале)

The AUD/USD pair is developing the potential corrective wave B of the medium term uptrend (coral in the chart) from the point 1.0856. Within this wave there are subwaves A, B and C (royal blue in the chart). An impulse subwave C is developing from 1.0636. The latter comprises the subwaves A, and B (red in the chart); the subwave B is developing from 1.0336.

Now the downside targets are Fibonacci retracements 1.0423-1.0636, 0.9861-1.0856, and expansions 1.0856-1.0423-1.0636.

Supports:

- 1.0241 = .618 retracement
- 1.0236 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0203 = objective point (OP)

If the price reverses to the upside, the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements 1.0636-1.0336.

Resistances:

- 1.0451 = .382 retracement
- 1.0486 = .50 ret
- 1.0521 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving downwards, so it is prefereable to go short when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (15-20 pips above the current prices) or into the overbought area (35-45 pips above the current prices). Mind the possibilities of opening the short positions at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com