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EUR/USD Sell Bellow 1.30 - For November 29, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-11-29 19:15:28 (читать в оригинале)

Yesterday the euro recovered positions, due to good market optimism waiting to generate an agreement between Democrats and Republicans in the United States before the year end, thereby avoiding a fiscal disaster.

The euro rose from the weekly pivot of 1.29; so far the euro is a little exhausted in the uptrend.

Given that the euro has not exceeded its maximum in the week, we have a good chance of selling price for any level below 1.30, with a very tight stop loss at 1.3030, and our profit taking at 1.2830 in the short term.

Markets are becoming less liquid and more prone to sudden and significant changes, so you should be very cautious with this pair, not leverage its account and always operate with the stop loss.

 

If you need personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Sell Bellow 1.6057 - For November 29, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-11-29 19:12:12 (читать в оригинале)

 

Yesterday the British pound bounced above 1.5950, fractal. We mentioned it as a key level to buy. Now it is showing signs of exhaustion in upward sequence. There is a probability of a small upward movement until the downtrend channel. If the pair does not break it bluntly, it is a good signal to sell the pair with target at 1.5960.

 

The fact that the pound is above the 200 day moving average periods adds bullish strength for the pair, which we expect will reach the level of 1.61 and 1.63 in the medium term. So reversals of this pair meant opportunities to buy the pound.
 

If you need personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me, in the portal MT5.com, please login and then vote for me. Thanks.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF: Under Pressure

2012-11-29 14:45:46 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/CHF is trading with risks skewed lower. The rate is undermined by broadly weaker demand for safe-haven USD as risk aversion decreases; spillover of EUR strengthens CHF.
Preference:
Sell below 0.9315 with targets  0.9275 and 0.926 in extension.
Support Levels:
S1 - 0.9275
S2 - 0.926
S3 - 0.9251-0.9244 band (Tuesday's low-Oct. 2 low)
Alternative scenario:
Buy above 0.9315. Above 0.9315 look for further upside with 0.934 and 0.936 as targets.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 0.9341 (Wednesday's high)
R2 - 0.9358 (Friday's high)
R3 - 0.9393 (Nov. 22 high)  
Techincal Comment:
As long as 0.9315 is resistance, look for choppy price action with a bearish bias. Daily chart is mixed as MACD is bearish, but stochastics is bullish at oversold.  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY: Bullish Bias Above 81.9

2012-11-29 14:42:06 (читать в оригинале)

Overview:
USD/JPY is trading in higher range. The rate is underpinned by buying of yen crosses amid rejuvenated investor risk appetite (VIX fear gauge eased 2.58% to 15.51; S&P rose 0.79% overnight) as optimistic comments from U.S. President Obama and House Speaker Boehner about U.S. budget talks raised hopes that a deal would be secured before the year-end deadline for the U.S. economy to dodge the fiscal cliff; meanwhile, The Wall Street Journal reported that the Federal Reserve will likely continue buying long-term mortgage-backed and Treasury bonds in 2013 that are now part of the Operation Twist program that is set to expire on Dec. 31. USD/JPY is also supported by demand from Japan importers and investment trusts; expectations that opposition Liberal Democratic Party will win mid-December elections and push for aggressive monetary easing. But USD sentiment is dented by lower-than-expected U.S. October new home sales of 368,000 (vs. 385,000 forecast). USD/JPY gains also tempered by Japan exporter sales.
Preference:
Buy above 81.9 with targets 82.3 and 82.6 in extension.
Resistance Levels:
R1 - 82.22-82.31 band (Wednesday's high-Tuesday's high)
R2 - 82.63 (Monday's high)
R3 - 82.84 (seven-and-a-half month high hit Nov. 22) 
Alternative scenario:
Sell below 81.9. Below 81.9 look for further downside with 81.65 and 81.4 as targets.
Support Levels:
S1 - 81.68-81.65 (Wednesday's low-Nov. 21 low)
S2 - 81.4
S3 - 81.13-81.08 (Nov. 20 low-Nov. 19 low) 
Technical Comment:
The pair has broken above a bullish flag upper boundary and should post further advance. USD/JPY daily chart is mixed as MACD is bullish; but stochastics is bearish at overbought.    

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Wave Analysis for November 29, 2012

2012-11-29 14:39:53 (читать в оригинале)

Wave Analysis:

Yesterday a breakthrough of figure 29 led to the EUR/USD pair reversed decisively to the level of 1.2850. Meanwhile, despite the correctional level of 50.0% does not look worked out, there is a possibility that the uptrend that was formed during the second half of the day will transform into the beginning of the third. At the same time it is not ruled out that wave 4 (in C or 3) may take a more complex inner wave structure resembling an ascending triangle.

Targets for Down Wave 4 in 3 or C (presumably):

 

1.2874 – 50.0% of Fibonacci
1.2842 – 61.8% of Fibonacci

 

Targets for Up Wave 5 in 3 or C:

1.3011 and higher – 200.0% of Fibonacci

Summary and Trading Recommendations:

Up wave 3 or C (presumably) of an uptrend continues its building. In terms of wave 5 in 3 or C growth of quotes may continue towards the level of 1.3011 and higher which is corresponding 200.0% of Fibonacci. Before this wave starts its formation the descending movement may continue with the targets 1.2874 and 1.2842 which is corresponding to 50.0% and 61.8% of Fibonacci in terms of wave 4 in 3 or C of an uptrend. A small Divergence of MACD warned about the beginning of a corrective wave 4 in terms of uptrend formation. The whole wave 3 or C may finish near the figure 31. No channels or Divergence/Convergence had been observed for the previous day.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com