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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Levels for June 7, 2012

2012-06-07 10:50:44 (читать в оригинале)

TODAY's   TECHNICAL   LEVEL :

Breakout BUY Level : 1.2636.

Strong Resistance : 1.2629.

Original Resistance : 1.2617.

Inner Sell Area : 1.2605.

Target Inner Area : 1.2575.

Inner Buy Area : 1.2545.

Original Support : 1.2533.

Strong Support : 1.2520.

Breakout SELL Level : 1.2513.

 

DESCRIPTION :

Today the EUR/USD pair has support and resistance at 1.2533 and 1.2617 and is accompanied by strong support 1.2520 and 1.2629 resistance levels.

If the EUR/USD pair breaks through and closes below a 1.2513 level today, then this will indicate considerable bearish strength, while if the EUR/USD pair manages to break though and close above a 1.2636 level, then this will denote high bullish strength. It is possible to trade otherwise by opening BUY position at the level of 1.2545 and SELL position at 1.2605, provided that both targets are located at the level of 1.2575.

 

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Official Analyst of InstaForex Companies Group
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GBP/USD Bullish Outlook For June 6 / 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-06-06 19:46:51 (читать в оригинале)

The GBP / USD pair has managed to ascend up to the 50 periods moving average around 1.5505, maybe waiting for the G7 managed to give relief to the sovereign debt crisis. Though at the end of the conference call it did not give clear signals that a solution has been found.

On a technical level we expect a correction towards the bullish channel of 4H; the level 1.5380 presents a good opportunity for buy-deals with targets seen at the 1.5700 level.

The momentum indicator is showing bearish signals, so the pair is expected to reverse. 

  If you need a personal consultation, adress me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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Spain is on the verge of economic precipice -Fundamental Analysis For June 6, 2012

2012-06-06 18:34:07 (читать в оригинале)

 

On Tuesday we stated in our report that the meeting of the G7 finance ministers generated great expectations on the markets. Indeed, we believed that the great announcement is really expected taking into account the seriousness of the financial and economic situation in Europe.

But none of these expectations was justified. On the contrary, Europe was in charge of minimizing the meeting suggesting that the crisis is not a surprise, as if there were a mitigating factor. While the U.S. and Japan put pressure on Europe to take any steps, the old continent continued its useless speeches and being full of good intentions for future that actually looks too unfavorable.

German Chancellor Merkel and her allies looked with some skepticism on the situation understanding that the position of the rest of Europe is exaggerated and that a request for help is ready to be delivered. Meanwhile, Spain is torn between the same request for help and pride of those who do not want to accept economic difficulties, perhaps due to the assumption that "Spain is too big to fail". The phrase, though relevant at the time, was forgotten recently.

The Iberian country is slowly closing the windows as the voluntary market credit begins to turn his back to force the soaring interest rates, unbearable in the long run. However, the authorities are reluctant to seek a solution from the rest of Europe.

The concerns of the United States and Japan are understandable: both know that if Europe continues remain quiet holding these endless meetings, committees and commissions that come to nothing, and with speeches with no sense, the states or banks that are on the brink of bankruptcy will be hit by the crisis. In case of the U.S. with its ongoing electoral process the concern is even greater.

Just minutes ago the European Central Bank announced that benchmark interest rate remained unchanged, as it was at 1%. However, the key issue is the press conference of its chairman, Mario Draghi starting at 8:30 Eastern.

Draghi, after an auspicious start management and decision not to cut the interest rate unwisely raised by the president Trichet twice in 2011, began to have bland presentations and online advertisements with political officials: projections without much sense and awe that markets do not forgive him his lack of decisiveness in order to take the necessary measures.

The ECB, whose primary mission is to preserve the value of the euro and tackle the inflation, showed that no greater responsibilities were taken. Inflation is not just a problem on a continent where half the countries are in recession and unemployment rate is 11%. And the exchange rate of the euro depends too much on his orders, given that before a negative figure of U.S. jobs, the single currency was traded from 1.2290 to 1.25 amid the report from the ECB.

The growth of the euro is believed to be totally speculative, if you think Draghi does not have much to offer to the markets in his speech. It is not surprisingly to see the euro below 1.24 in the next few hours, unless some savior appears which cannot be other than to give financial aid to Spain and Italy, whose fates are quite similar in case there is no swift action. Considering the coming in a week and a half elections in Greece, we can forecast almost certainly appear that the Hellenic country will move away from euro.

The rest of the Forex market also presents interesting movements. The Australian dollar, supported by the local GDP of 1.3% in the first quarter (more than double than expected) gained strength, following the strengthening of the ounce of gold. The Aussie is recovered from the interest rate cut by the Reserve Bank of Australia, before the economic slowdown. The same measures were taken a month ago.

The Canadian dollar and Mexican peso are also away from their lows amid the growth of oil, which now exceeds $ 85 per barrel. In Mexico also another storm front is approaching, which is the political process immersed in the nation with uncertain results.

The yen is the other important object of the day. The day before it had shown signs of weakness as Japan's claim to the high cost of its currency which normally prevents from export their industrial giants. If the price of the USD / JPY pair 79.20 breaks the current level, the yen can be traded at 80 against the dollar within few hours.

During the American session will be announced the data on oil inventories, completing the day's news agenda, as well as the Fed's Beige Book, an anticipation of the meeting on the monetary policy.

 

If you need a personal consultation, adress me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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EUR/USD While waiting for the Rescue For June 6 / 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-06-06 18:05:38 (читать в оригинале)

The EUR/USD pair falls this Wednesday because the data from the service sector was better than expected. On the other hand the pair loses the upward force due to negative news from Spain. Tomorrow is expected to inject 2 million Euros in long-term bonds. Therefore we should wait what will happen.

On technical level, the Euro had difficulties in holding above 1.2530; at the moment it is breaking its uptrend line formed on the 4h charts.
The breakdown of this level can accelerate the fall to 1.2410 and even lower - to the 1.2337, where there the fractal has a very strong support.

Therefore, we recommend sell-deals below 1.2467 or if you just want to buy, given that the market could take an unexpected twist, we recommend buying at 1.2410 or 1.2340 with medium-term targets is seen at 1.2650.

If you need a personal consultation, adress me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me by clicking here!

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for June 6, 2012

2012-06-06 15:57:53 (читать в оригинале)

4H

General situation:
On June 6, the USD/CHF pair also continued the descending movement resulting in the return of the price to the Ichimoku Cloud. Therefore, in coming hours the pair is likely to reach the Senkou Span B. The current signal for Sell-deals is confirmed and weak as the Chinkou Span is located below the price chart and the price is located within the Ichimoku cloud. That is why the target for descending movement is seen at the lower limit of the Ichimoku Cloud 0.9555. As the Ichimoku Cloud is quite wide, it is possible to open long positions though it is necessary to be very cautious. In case the first support level 0.9536 has been overcome, the new target for descending movement – the second support level 0.9411 – will be available. The downside movement remains the same as long as the price is located below the Kijun-Sen line (0.9675). While bullish trading below this line it is recommended to place the Stop loss. If the price goes higher than this line, the signal for Sell-deals will weaken and the further elaboration of the downward movement will be questioned. Chinkou Span is located below the price chart confirming the current signal for Sell-deals and indicating the bearish mood on the USD/CHF market. Bollinger Bands points at the continuation of the bearish mood, lines are slightly expanding and directed downwards, so it is recommended to consider short positions. MACD is directed downwards indicating the current downside movement enabling to consider short positions till the pair reverses to the upside.

 

Trading recommendations:
On the USD/CHF market it is necessary to consider short positions with first target seen at 0.9555 though cautiously and taking into account the smaller chart. When this level is passed through, the next target for sell-deals will be seen at the 0.9411 level. Stop Loss is to be placed above the 0.9675 and if this line goes lower, Stop Loss can be placed after it. With 50-60 pips of profit Stop Loss can be placed to the zero area. Take profits can be set a bit higher than the target levels (10 pips approximately) – 0.9565 and 0.9420.

Apart from the technical picture it is necessary to consider the fundamental data and the time of its release.
Ichimoku Indicator:
Tenkan-Sen – red line
Kijun-Sen – blue line
Senkou Span A – light brown dotted line
Senkou Span B – light blue dotted line
Chinkou Span – green line
Senkou Span B – violet dotted line
Bollinger Bands:
3 yellow lines
MACD Indicator:
Red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window.

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