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GBP/USD Strong Resistance For June 07/2012

2012-06-07 18:33:25 (читать в оригинале)

The Momentum indicator is entering the 100 area indicating a possible correcion. The agency Egan-Jones has downgraded the rating from the UK, to AA- from AA; the rating agency said the rating  was reviewed due to a slowdown in GDP growth and the fact that recent data on balance payment is not too positive.

On the chart above we can see the level of 1.5640 and 1.5710 as a strong resistance level; a correction will probably take place at these levels. Therefore, we recommend selling at these resistance levels with objectives seen at the 1.5450 level. On the other hand, a breakdown of the 1.5710 level will be a signal for buy-deals with objectives seen at the 1.5900 level.

If you need a personal consultation, adress me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Correction For June 07/2012

2012-06-07 18:28:46 (читать в оригинале)

This morning the ECB left interest rates in the eurozone unchanged at 1%, as it was expected. This was taken optimistically and the euro managed to break the resistance 1.2583; presently it is trading above this level on the 4H charts. The pair is expected  to rise towards 1.2635 and 1.2675 second weekly resistance. We recommend sell-deals at both levels with objectives seen at 1.2535 (Pivot Point). If the uptrend line is broken, it s recommended to sell up to 1.2400. Stop loss is to be placed above 1.2675.

We expect the formation of the second corrective wave. Then the uptrend will resume towards our medium-term target 1.3100

If you need a personal consultation, adress me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Linear Regression Channels for June 7, 2012

2012-06-07 16:45:09 (читать в оригинале)

Last Friday, the GBP/USD pair tested the lower limit of the Yellow channel around 1.5280 expressing a massive bullish reaction which turned our short-term view for the pair into bullish.

As it was mentioned before, exceeding the Average Daily Range during the last three days of bearish movement indicates a possible bullish retracement which was expected to take place yesterday.

The GBP/USD pair has an Intraday Support Level located at 1.5435 which corresponds to the lower limit of the Yellow Channel which constitutes a valid BUY entry with low risk.

The GBP/USD pair is now testing the upper limits of the Violet channel after extensive bullish movement exceeding the Average Daily Range for Today.

The depicted typical double buttom pattern renders price zone 1.5380-15400 a significant Intraday support zone. In case it is broken through, the way towards 1.5290 will be open.

Based on the previous analysis

The market offers a valid BUY-entry around 1.5435 with SL located below 1.5390.

TP levels are to be located at 1.5465, 1.5495 & 1.5555.

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for June 7, 2012

2012-06-07 16:21:21 (читать в оригинале)

Intraday Technical Outlook:

The USD/CAD pair has been trading within the depicted bearish channels since Monday. This comes after a strong bullish movement that took place last month which was expected to pause this week.

Yesterday, the USD/CAD pair expressed the excellent bearish reaction towards the upper limit of the Yellow, Violet & Blue channels around price level 1.0370.

Today, the USD/CAD pair failed to breakthrough the upper limit of the Violet channel & the mid-line of the Yellow one. Thus, it declined rapidly targetting  the lower limit of the Yellow channel near 1.0235.

The lower limit of the Yellow channel at 1.0235 may constitute a valid Intraday Support for the pair. However SELLING is more recommended in the current situation.

The USD/CAD pair INTRADAY outlook remains bearish as long as the pair is trading below 1.0330.

In the Long-term prospective, the USD/CAD pair remains bullish as long as the pair is trading above the previous congestion zone 1.0230-1.0150.

Trade Recommendations:

If you had a SELL entry taken at price level 1.0370, profits should have been taken at 1.0260.

- Price Level 1.0310 is expected to be a valid SELL entry with SL located above 1.0330.

TP levels are to be located at 1.0260, 1.0210 & 1.0150.

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USD/JPY Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for June 7, 2012

2012-06-07 15:55:41 (читать в оригинале)

4Н

General situation:
Analyzing the USD/JPY rate on the market on June 7, we can see that in the course of yesterday’s deals the rate has slightly edged, having overcome the Ichimoku Cloud. The movement is almost without pullbacks, clearly pointing at the correction. The current signal for Buy-deals is confirmed and strong, as the Chinkou Span is located above the price chart and the price holds above the Ichimoku Cloud. That is why the target for ascending movement is seen at the second support level 80.53. It is necessary to follow very carefully the MACD indicator, as the downside correction is expected. In case this level is passed through, the next target will be seen at the third resistance level 81.34. The ascending movement remains relevant as long as the price is located higher than the Kijun-Sen line (78.55). Stop Loss is recommended while bullish trade. The signal for Buy-deals will weaken in case the price is fixed below this line. Chinkou Span is located above the price chart confirming the current signal for Buy-deals and indicating the bullish mood at the USD/JPY market. Bollinger Bands indicate the continuation of the upward movement, lines are expanding and directed upwards, so long positions are relevant. MACD is directed upwards indicating the current upside movement enabling to consider short positions. If the indicator reverses to the downside, this will indicate the beginning of the correction.

Trading recommendations:
On the USD/JPY market t is recommended to consider buy positions with first target seen at the 80.53. In case this level has been overcome, buy deals can be continued with 81.34 as target. Stop Loss is to be placed below 78.55 and as this line goes higher, Stop loss can be replaced after it. It is recommended to reduce manually long positions when the MACD reverses to the downside. When the price passes 30-40 pips to the required side, Stop Loss can be placed to the non-loss area. Take profits can be set approximately at 80.40 and 81.25 levels.

Apart from the technical picture it is necessary to consider the fundamental data and the time of its release.
In case front-running deals are possible, you can take a smaller timeframe (M15-M30) and follow the reversal of the trend indicator (Heiken-Ashi, for example) near the price level where the price reversal will probably tak place.

Explanations to the picture:
Ichimoku Indicator:
Tenkan-Sen – red line
Kijun-Sen – blue line
Senkou Span A – light brown dotted line
Senkou Span B – light blue dotted line
Chinkou Span – green line
Senkou Span B – violet dotted line
Bollinger Bands:
3 yellow lines
MACD Indicator:
Red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window.

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My Blog with additional information to the analysis.

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