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EUR/USD Weekly Technical Levels for June 11 - 15, 2012

2012-06-11 09:52:22 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

 

Tip (s):

R3 and S3 are considered as clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility, though it is possible to pass them through. 

Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 line.

Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.

In case of the breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach  R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Observation (s):

• If the trend is of upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
• Most of the traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurately the psychological support and resistance levels.
  

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If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com .

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Skepticism and pessimism, what is happening? - Fundamental Analysis for June 08/2012

2012-06-08 19:26:11 (читать в оригинале)

Different versions regarding the European debt crisis in financial markets run through the Friday session.

There is speculation that Spain could finally turn to the European Union to apply for a bailout that gives relief to their troubled banks. There are also rumors that Italian banks are about the same level of Spanish.

Meanwhile, over time, come the elections in Greece, and the teams mented to develop a new scenario without the Hellenic country in the eurozone do not reach any conclusion. In other words, on Monday, June 18 the market will be more moved, right?

In this context, deflated the relaxed atmosphere that brought the markets during the week after the presentation of Ben Bernanke, who not only referred to the plans that the Fed could implement in the local economy, call it QE3 (colloquially, putting money into markets to provide liquidity to an economy that costs too much to grow), but also to the European crisis, which the official is likely to explode soon, and that splash of full United States, Japan and the rest of Southeast Asia.

His habitual skepticism and pessimism share market gave a dye similar, although the Dow managed to close on Thursday with a small profit, the future of that now operate with relatively low key.

The currencies also felt the impact of Bernanke's words, and even the increase in exports from Germany, almost twice than expected, managed to change the course bearish the euro, which was emerging from the Asian session, when the price was supported by 1.2525 trendline.

The single currency has a picture certainly not encouraging to observe long-term charts. The uptrend line on the monthly chart, which extends from the end of 2001, has been broken at 1.2620, not coincidentally most of Thursday, and from where he began a rapid decline, which is maintained at these times. It is true that you have all month to reverse this low, and the overcoming of that area would make the crossing mentioned a false alarm. But this breakdown is confirmed, the area of 1.20 will soon appear on the screens.

In the short-term the euro situation is similar, though more moderate, of course. The area of 1.24 appears as the support, under which will be the next target 1.2330.

The British pound also fell at these times, in this case driven by a weak wholesale price index in the UK, which marks a 2.5% deflation, if any sensitive data in an economy that fails to even out clearly recession, and monetary policy which, through the BoE, seeks to stimulate it with asset purchases that seem a drop in the sea.

The lower oil prices, meanwhile, more than $5 within 24 hours, causes a further fall of currencies linked to it, such as the Canadian dollar and Mexican peso. The same applies to the Australian dollar tied to gold, totaling a loss of $86 in 3 days.

 If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Uncertainty For June 08/2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-06-08 19:25:37 (читать в оригинале)

The Euro-Dollar pair fell on Friday. Even the increase in exports from Germany, almost twice than expected, did nit manage to change the direction of the euro movement, which was emerging in the Asian session, when the price was supported by 1.2527 uptrend line. The second graph below shows the situation before the break of the trendline.

On a technical level we note that the Eur/Usd pair is trading above the Weekly pivot point around 1.2448 and is more likely to be a technical rebound by the strong support level, but a break of that level will accelerate the fall of the pair to the nearest fractal of 1.2337.

In a view that the pair has stopped at this level will most likely increase to 1.2520. (fractal h4) at this level, we recommend sell targets 1.2337 with stop loss at 1.2550. If you want to buy, you can do it only above 1.2448, and with  very tight stop loss below this level. (WPP)

The stochastic indicator is below 50% showing a little more fall but somewhat depleted in the bearish signal.

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me by clicking here!

 

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count for June 8, 2012

2012-06-08 19:20:50 (читать в оригинале)

 

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
The AUD/USD pair was moving upwards developing 1 wave (colored blue). During the European session we could observe ascending movement towards the 1.0000 level. We can consider this move as the end of the 1 wave (colored blue). Therefore, during the New York session the AUD/USD pair started getting lower and price reached 0.9890 level. Today during the Asian session this major pair continued trading in a bearish mood, and price currently is testing the 0.9820 level. At the moment we can observe the end of the 2 wave (colored blue) so we can be prepared to enter long at the start of the 3 wave. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets Fibonacci extensions (0.9580-1.1.0000-0.9791) with Take Profit 1 at 1.0150 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.0265 (127.2% of wave 1). Support level at 0.9750 can be used as a Stop Loss point. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. Trade Balance and Wholesale Inventories m/m data that can change the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 0.9798 (S2) 0.9846 (S1) 0.9876 (PP) 0.9925 (R1) 0.9973 (R2) 1.0003 (R3) 1.0052

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why Long positions at level 0.9900 with Stop Loss at 0.9750, Take Profit 1 at 1.0150 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0265 are recommended.

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for June 8 , 2012

2012-06-08 19:19:47 (читать в оригинале)

 

Overview

Proceeding today's H4 chart , Silver takes a strong bearish view and now is currently bouncing from the support level 28.05 to take a slightly bullish movement. If Silver continues this bullish move, it will test the resistance level 28.60. The breakout of this resistance level will be a strong indicator ofthe upward trend. Therefore, we can buy till it reaches the resistance level 29.05, then we should wait for breaking the resistance level when it continues the bullish move.

On the other hand, if Silver reverses its upward movement and breaks the support level 28.05 and break 4H below, it indicates bearish strength providing new sellers signals and giving us a good opportunity to sell with 27.62 as first target then 27.00 after breaking the support level 27.20. From the given H4 chart technical indicators provide bullish signal, but as long as the resistance level 28.60 is unbroken, the downward trend remains and invalidates the bullish outlook. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support levels 

R3(29.60)

R2(29.05)

R1(28.60)

S1(28.05)

S2(27.45)

S3(27.20)

Trading Recommendations 

According to previous analysis, we recommend buying with TP1 28.50 and TP2 29.00 ; SL closing 5 hours below the support level 28.05 level.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com