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GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for June 11, 2012

2012-06-11 12:01:54 (читать в оригинале)

GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C of medium term downtrend from 129.32 (light green in the chart). Within this wave we have two subwaves (royal blue in the chart), and potential corrective subwave B is moving from 118.74. Within this wave we also have two subwaves (magenta in the chart), and potential corrective subwave B is developing from 124.28.

The supports below are Fibonacci retracements of 118.74-124.28.

Supports:

- 121.51 = .50 retracement
- 120.86 = .618 ret

However if the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 129.33-118.74, and expansions off 118.74-124.28-121.85.

- 125.27-28 = confluence area of contracted objective point (COP) and .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving up, so it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or into the oversold area (30-45 pips below the current prices). Watch for opportunities to go long at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for June 11, 2012

2012-06-11 12:01:37 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD is developing corrective wave B (light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 0.9581. Within this wave we have three subwaves (magenta in the chart), and impulse subwave C is developing from 0.9820.

Now the immediate resistances are Fibonacci retracements of 1.0473-0.9581, and expansions off 0.9581-1.0002-0.9820.

Resistances:

- 1.0027 = .50 retracement
- 1.0080 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0132 = .618 ret
- 1.0241 = objective point (OP)

If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 0.9581-1.0007.

Supports:

- 0.9844 = .382 ret
- 0.9794 = .50 ret
- 0.9744 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving up, so it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or into the oversold area (25-35 pips below the current prices). Watch for opportunities to go long at or near the indicated supports.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-06-11 12:01:16 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate broke the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel at 99.80 leading to an acceleration. A pull back on these levels is expected before a resumption of a bullish trend.
Technical indicators provide sell-signals and approaching the overbuy zone supporting the assumption of a pull back. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term.
According to previous events the market will provide a bullish opportunity at the level of 99.80 with the 1st objective at 100.40 and then at 100.60. A break through 99.60 will alter this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-06-11 12:00:05 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Gold is currently testing the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel at 1,631 and seems to initiate a decline. However, a break through these levels will release good potential and initiate a violent bullish trend.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term.
According to previous events the market will provide a bullish opportunity as soon as the gold has broken through its resistance of 1,631 with the 1st objective at 1,642 and then at 1,645. A break through 1,628 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EURUSD Technical Analysis and Linear Regression Channels for June 11, 2012

2012-06-11 11:22:42 (читать в оригинале)

4H

Technical Data:

Senior linear regression channel – downward direction.
Minor linear regression channel: downward direction.
Moving average (20; smoothed) – upward direction.
CCI: 153,6182
Explanation:

 

On June 11 the euro is above the moving average, however, both channels are still running down which does not allow us to consider long positions. Senior channel is turning down which shows the descending movement of the global trend. Minor channel is also pointing down which signifies downward movement even within a less long-term planning. At the moment the price is above moving as well as “3/8”level of Murray. Therefore the target of the upward movement is “4/8” – 1.2695 of Murray, but it is not recommended to open long positions within this target. In case the price manages to overcome this level, the next target of the upward movement will be “5/8” – 1.2817 of Murray. Moving average is running upwards, and the price, in its turn, is higher than the moving average, which is why the ascending movement is very relevant now. Haiken Ashi painted the last bars with violet which underlines the local upward movement, but long positions are not of current interest anyway. Buy orders will be actual not earlier than one of the channels will turn upwards. Short positions will become profitable again after the price is fixed below the moving. CCI indicator is about 200 level which demonstrates massive overbought of this pair, which can lead to downward correction for the next several hours.
The nearest support levels:
S1 - 1.2573
S2 – 1.2451
S3 – 1.2329
The nearest resistance levels:
R1 – 1.2695
R2 – 1.2817
R3 – 1.2939

 

Trading Recommendations:
Analyzing EURUSD pair we can see that it is not recommended to enter the market within any positions. It will be possible to think of buy orders not earlier than one of the channels will turn upwards. Short positions will be actual only when price consolidates below the moving average.

 

Apart from technical analysis it is required to take into account fundamental data and time of their release.
Legend for Illustrations:
Senior linear regression channel – blue one-direction lines.
Minor linear regression channel – violet one-direction lines.
CCI – blue line in the indicator window.
Moving average (20; smoothed) – blue line on the price chart.
Murray’s levels – multicolored horizontal lines.
Haiken Ashi – indicator, painting bars with blue or violet.

 

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The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com