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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for March 26, 2012

2012-03-26 13:43:14 (читать в оригинале)

According to the USD/CAD 1H Linear Regression Channel Chart :

Today the USD/CAD has managed to break the lower limit of the Yellow & Violet channels. Both of them are bullish so, the breakdown is considered as a bearish signal.

The backside of the lower limit of the broken channels at 0.9995 is now acting as Intraday resistance for the USD/CAD pair.

Also it is possible that Head and Shoulders reversal pattern will be formed on the chart, providing a low-risk SELL entry at the price level of the right shoulder around 0.9997-1.0007 which becomes confirmed with 4H closure below 0.9964.

Final Target Level for this H&S pattern will be located at 0.9900, while SL should be located above 1.0030.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

USD/CAD Elliott Wave Count for March 26, 2012

2012-03-26 13:15:24 (читать в оригинале)

Market Overview
On Friday during the European session the USD/CAD pair was trading within the upward movement and reached the resistance level 1.0030. During the New York session the USD/CAD pair retested this resistance level twice, having failed to hold it. Thus, the price pushed down to 0.9975 level.Today during the Asian session we could observe the bullish mood; the price reached the 0.9990 level. Today the USD/CAD pair is expected to test 0.9950 level. Also it is necessary to consider the data concerning the USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks, Pending Home Sales m/m and CAD BOC Gov Carney Speaks that can affect the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 0.9929 (S2) 0.9953 (S1) 0.9968 (PP) 0.9993 (R1) 1.0017 (R2) 1.0032 (R3) 1.0057

USD/CAD Elliott Wave Analysis
The USD/CAD pair has finished the wave A (colored blue) of the bigger wave B (colored green) in the point 0.9964. Presently we can observe the end of the wave B (colored blue). In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave B retraces at least 50% of the wave A, we can define the potential targets with the help of Fibonacci retracement (0.9841-1.0033) with First Take Profit at 0.9937 (50% of wave A) and Second Take Profit at 0.9915 (61.8% of wave A). For Stop Loss we can use the 1.0033 invalidation level.

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why Short position at levels 1.0000 with Stop Loss at 1.0033, Take Profit at 0.9937 and Take Profit 2 at 0.9915 are recommended.
 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count for March 26, 2012

2012-03-26 13:12:05 (читать в оригинале)

Market Overview
On Friday during the European session the AUD/USD pair was trading in an upward trend and reached the resistance level 1.0449 (100 EMA). During the New York session the AUD/USD pair pushed to the 1.0482 level (2 Days High). The AUD/USD pair has finished Friday's trading day few pips lower than the 1.0466 level. Today during the Asian session we could observe the bearish mood; the price reached the 1.0430 level.Today the AUD/USD pair is expected to test again the 1.0500 level. Also it is necessary to consider the data concerning the USD Fed Chairman Bernanke Speaks and Pending Home Sales m/m that can affect the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 1.0330 (S2) 1.0372 (S1) 1.0398 (PP) 1.0440 (R1) 1.0482 (R2) 1.0508 (R3) 1.0550

AUD/USD Elliott Wave Analysis
The AUD/USD pair has finished the wave B (colored pink) of the bigger wave B (colored blue) in the point 1.0335, Presently we can observe the middle of the wave C. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave C is equal to the wave B, we can define the potential targets with the  Fibonacci retracement (1.0636-1.03357); the \First Take Profit at 1.0572 (78.6% of wave B) and Second Take Profit at 1.0636 (100% of wave B). For Stop Loss we can use 1.0336 invalidation level.

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why Long position at levels 1.0465 with Stop Loss at 1.0336, Take Profit at 1.0572 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0636 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

USD/JPY Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for March 26, 2012

2012-03-26 12:38:36 (читать в оригинале)



General situation:
Analyzing the USD/JPY market on March 26 we can see that the price has recently begun the correction forming the new signal for Sell-deals. As a result, the rate reached the lower limit of the Ichimoku Cloud though it has not been overcome yet. The current signal for Sell-deals is confirmed and weak as the Chinkou Span is fixed below the price chart and the price is located in the Ichimoku Cloud. Thus, the target for the prospect descending movement is the first support level 81.51. It is necessary to mention that it will be possible to open the long positions only when the price is fixed blow the Ichimoku Cloud strengthening the current Dead Cross. In case this level has been overcome, the next target will be the second support level 80.68. The downside movement remains relevant as long as the price is below the Kijun-Sen (83.00). In case the price is fixed above this line, the further development of the sellers signal will be questioned indicating a possible reversal of price to upwards. Chinkou Span is located below the price chart indicating the bullish mood on the USD/JPY market. Bollinger Bands points at the descending movement; lines are expanding and directed downwards. Therefore, short positions are considered as relevant. MACD is directed upwards indicating the current corrective movement. You cannot open the short positions now but when the lower limit of the Ichimoku Cloud has been completed it will be possible to resume trade when the rate is fixed below it.

Trading recommendations:
On the USD/JPY market today it is recommended to consider the Sell-positions with the level 81.51 seen as target but only when the price is fixed below the Ichimoku Cloud. If this level has been broken through, the next target will be seen at the 80.68 level. Stop Loss is to be placed above the 83.00 level. As this line moves downside, Stop Loss can be replaced downwards. While opening the short positions MACD should indicate the descending movement. When the price passes 30-40 pips to the required side, Stop Loss can be replaced to the non-loss area. Take profits are to be set at levels 81.60 and 80.80.
Apart from the technical picture it is necessary to consider the fundamental data and the time of its release.

 

Explanations to the picture:
Ichimoku Indicator:
Tenkan-Sen – red line
Kijun-Sen – blue line
Senkou Span A – light brown dotted line
Senkou Span B – light blue dotted line
Chinkou Span – green line
Senkou Span B – violet dotted line
Bollinger Bands:
3 yellow lines
MACD Indicator:
Red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-03-26 11:54:20 (читать в оригинале)

 

Gold is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium term bearish channel in 1672 suggesting a decline. However a break of these levels would allow it to reach the upper limit of its channel to 1710.

Technical indicators provide  signals for Sell-deals confirming the fact that the pair is likely to decline soon. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.

Proceeding form the previous situation, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the gold will has broken its resistance 1672 with 1st objectives seen at the 1682 and 1690 level. A breakdown in 1669 will cancel this scenario.



 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com


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