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EUR/USD Sell Bellow Fractal 1.3405 for March 27, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-03-27 18:26:46 (читать в оригинале)

The EUR / USD pair has stopped after the ascending movement to the second weekly resistance 1.3391. Fractal is located near 1.3405 at this moment trading above the weekly W_R1 and fractal 1.3324. We believe that the euro will try again to break the 1.3390 level on the other side of the quote below 1.3330  triggering the further declines towards 1.3230 or 1.3170.

The range indicator is in overbought area and the MACD is in negative zone, breaking through the signal line from top to bottom, confirming a signal for Sell-deals.

Therefore, we recommend selling in 1.3390 with a target to Fractal (50,50,10) to 1.3244 or to 1.3230 weekly pivot point; Stop Loss is to be placed  above 1.3405 Fractal.

 

 

 

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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QE3 again? -Fundamental Analysis, for March 27, 2012

2012-03-27 18:23:54 (читать в оригинале)

 

The presentation of the Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke at the meeting on the labor market affected dollar on all fronts.

 

Pessimistic investors interpreted the words of Bernanke, who considers the U.S. economic recovery as too slow, that there is a possibility of new stimulus for it in QE3.

However, this possibility has been recently dismissed by some members of the FOMC at time when the last week’s macro figures with some exceptions began to show the signs of optimism.

A new stimulus for the economy can boost again the inflationary effects that can negatively influence the economy which has never faced such threats before.

With a recession that has been overcome recently, too large money injections can even change a mind of Fed that made clarifications of its policy taking the decisions on interest rates to remain them unchanged until late 2014. The previous deadline was mid-2013.

No prizes for guessing that with the sustainable economic recovery though far from being perfect; an extreme liquidity can lead millions of consumers to retake low-cost loans shortly thereafter. All this appears to be a good stimulus for the nearest future from one point, but from the other – an almost fatal trap giving that the signs of growth are some sort of artificial promoting the consumption but not production.

However, the indicators of industrial production and first of all, capacity utilization show that there is still a lot of labor force that is ready to absorb a larger share of goods and services consumption. From there you can take the Fed if they finally decide to implement a new QE.

Indeed, back to the Forex market it is evident that the leading currencies have gained strength in recent hours, remaining within a movement without clear reversal patterns.

The euro reached the level 1.3390 so far and is able to overcome it in next few hours depending on the NYSE opening where shares fly again on Monday, pushing the single currency, other currencies and commodities.

The similar situation is with the pound sterling which is near 1.60. The franc is very close to the euro and the yen is trading with no clear trend in the area of 82.80. The currencies linked to commodities that also indicated as the Canadian dollar, for example, are traded around 0.99, without leaving a narrow price range; and the Australian dollar is being traded within a new bullish movement exceeding the level 1.05.

The U.S. consumer confidence data released at 10:00 are key to the development of dollar’s trends for the nearest future. Index is expected to be located close to 71 points, i.e. in line with the February data.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Under Pressure for March 27, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-03-27 17:53:35 (читать в оригинале)

 

Having found the resistance at the 1.0545 level the AUD / USD pair attempted to breakt through this level for seven times on the 4H charts. We note that the Australian dollar is still under the pressure due to Chinese news release and continues to respond to the current slowdown in China's economy, that indicated the  significant sales in the price of aussie last week.

At the technical level, according to the Fibonacci indicator, the Aussie has fallen to the level of 38.2%. The breakdown of the 1.0479 level will target the 1.0370 or even the 1.0322 weekly support.

Therefore, we recommend to sell at 1.0540 with a short-term objective seen at the 1.0360 level. Stop Loss is to be placed above the first weekly resistance.

The MACD indicator and Momentum indicator are showing bearish signals.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-03-27 13:40:36 (читать в оригинале)

 

The spot rate is presently testing the upper limit of its medium term bullish channel in 1.6000 and is likely to initiate a decline. However, if these levels are passed through, the revealed potential will result in more violent movement of a bullish trend.

Technical indicators provides buyers signals and approaching the overbuy zone supporting the assumptions of a decline. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.

According to previous events, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will has broken its resistance in 1.6000 with 1st objectives 1.6060 and1.6080. In case the level 1.5980 is passed through, the proposed scenario will be invalidated.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-03-27 13:36:55 (читать в оригинале)

 

At the moment the spot rate is testing the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel in 1.0540 and is expected to initiate a decline. However, if these levels are passed through, the released  potential will  initiate a bullish trend.

Technical indicators provide signals for Buy-deals and approaching the overbuy zone confirms a possible decline. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.

Proceeding from the previous situation, the market indicates a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate will has broken its resistance in 1.0540 with 1.0600 and 1.0620 seen as first objectives. A breakdown in 1.0520 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com