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EUR/USD Weekly Technical Levels for April 9 - 13, 2012

2012-04-09 10:27:21 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

Tip (s):

R3 and S3 are considered as clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility though it is possible to pass them through. 

Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 line.

Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.

In case of the breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach  R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Observation (s):

• If the trend is of upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
• Most of the traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurately psychological support and resistance levels.
  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Bullish outlook for April 06, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-04-06 19:26:03 (читать в оригинале)

The AUD / USD pair has consolidated above 1.0223 Fractal tghough the reversal of a trend is still not obvious. The aussie is still under the negative pressure due to the results of the meeting of the Reserve Bank of Australia that Caused Many worries of investors.

On a technical level we recommend  Buy-deals over the daily fractal with objectives to the downtrend channel. In case of another breakdown we recommend to buy the final target seen at the level 1.0670

The MACD indicator is in oversold area and it is possible to bounce the upward trend.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Non-farm payrolls U.S -Fundamental Analysis, for April 06, 2012

2012-04-06 16:54:38 (читать в оригинале)

 

Friday was a special day in terms of releases of most important data of the month concerning the non-farm payrolls in the U.S., coinciding with Good Friday, which remains close to all major financial centers worldwide.

If we go back to April 2010 analyzing the data of March, we will see that the current situation is the same. This time employment grew only slightly remaining below expectations though this recovery is considered as stable considering the situation of the last two months. Also it coincided with the first positive figure for job creation since January 2008. If you look at the charts of the following months, this can be considered as one of the worst records during the periods of job losses in recent decades.

This time the situation is different. The U.S. economy is clearly on recovery and even Tim Geithner Treasury Secretary and one of the officials that always support skeptical views of Fed Chairman Ben Bernanke, said on Tuesday that now there is reason to be optimistic.
In March 207,000 jobs were expected to be created, revised from 227,000 in February. A figure, of course, is subject to revision. Also, it is expected that the unemployment rate remains at 8.3%, similar to the previous month though still very high.

The release of breaking news that is expected to create jobs is coming in several minutes though it is not considered as able to affect the situation significantly. But I have to pay much attention to the beginning of the Asian session on Monday, when prices start to settle. The "gaps" logon will be the order of the day providing favorable business opportunities.

Prices, of course, just move. On Thursday the euro continued experiencing multi-days low and touched 1.3030 – a significant support level, while the British pound is still moving within a major uptrend on the daily chart and can fail to break the level 1.5780 .
Meanwhile, an excellent Canadian employment report has boosted the loonie to begin a new bullish trend just before it could lose its gains against the dollar.

The Australian dollar continued to fall and just regaining their positions in these hours trading above 1.03. The main tendency remains bearish as we can see on daily charts. As to the yen that moves within a narrow price range, it does not provide signals at its junction with the dollar in the short term prospective. Nevertheless, the analysis of daily charts allows considering a new growth of the JPY in the coming days.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for April 6, 2012

2012-04-06 16:13:43 (читать в оригинале)

- 4H CHART -

This week the USD/CAD pair has successfully broken the lower limit of both Violet and Blue channels with a long bearish 4H candlestick.
This bearish breakdown took place after the successful "Head & Shoulders" reversal pattern with neckline at 0.9950 rendering price levels 0.9950-0.9970 (which corresponds to the lower limit of the broken channels and the neckline for the reversal pattern) a valid SELL entry.
Yesterday we observed a massive bearish reaction towards this level without stepping above 1.000 pushing the USD/CAD pair towards 0.9906 which is the low of the daily candlestick.

-1H Chart -

The USD/CAD is about to turn its short-term trend into bearish one which is obvious in the direction of the Violet channel.
The support level 0.9945 was broken easily yesterday leading the USD/CAD pair to decline towards the 1st target at 0.9925 where some profits should have been taken.
After a breakdown of the lower limit of the Yellow channel at 0.9940, the pair is expected to retest this broken level providing a valid SELL entry for those who missed the SELL-deal Yesterday.
The expected bearish movement will probably have targets at 0.9903 and 0.9850 levels. However, trading above 1.0000 invalidates the current bearish scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for April 6, 2012

2012-04-06 16:12:07 (читать в оригинале)

From 1.5600 to1.6060 the GBP/USD pair is considered as bullish as it is moving within the depicted bullish channel which has been broken through this week.

The GBP/USD pair showed the massive bearish reaction after testing the 1.6060 level and breaking down 1.5880 the prominent support level reaching the point 1.5830 which is a support level on the 4H chart (50% Fibonacci level).

The massive bearish reaction that was able to break down the lower limit of the depicted channel favours the bearish prospective rather than bullish one. However, having failed to break  through 1.5830 for two successive times may bring some bullish strength into the market at least towards 1.5900, hence 1.5830 may constitute a valid short-term BUY entry towards 1.5945-1.5970 with SL its breakdown.

Proceeding from the former price action in the current price zone 1.5830-1.6060 we can see that the GBP/USD is probably forming a H&S reversal pattern with neckline at 1.5830 and the right shoulder that is expected to be placed around 1.5945-1.5970 which constitutes a valid low/risk for SELL entry.

Breakdown above the last recorded high at 1.6062 invalidates the bearish scenario for the short-term prospective. However, a breakdown of 1.5830 will confirm the reversal pattern allowing the GBP/USD to reach 1.5777 and 1.5650.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com