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USD/CAD Elliott Wave Count for April 12, 2012

2012-04-12 16:38:30 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CAD Elliott Wave Analysis
The USD/CAD pair was trading within the upward move for last few week. During the yesterday’s European session we could observe the end of 1 wave (coloured blue) at the point 1.0007, therefore during the New York session we could observe ascending toward to the 1.0050 level. We can consider this move as the end of wave 2 (coloured blue). Today during the Asian session the USD/CAD pair started developing 3 wave (coloured blue). The price is currently around the 1.0000 level, where we have strong support, but I think pair will break this level and push back to 0.9950 level today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 will retrace 161.8% of wave 1, we can define the potential targets with the Fibonacci extensions (1.0051-1.0007-1.0048); the First Take Profit at 0.9981(161.8% of wave 1) and Second Take Profit at 0.9965 (200% of wave 1). For Stop Loss we can use the 1.0020 resistance level. Also it is necessary to consider the data concerning the CAD Trade Balance, NHPI m/m and USD PPI m/m, Trade Balance, Unemployment Claims, Core PPI m/m, FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks that can affect the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 0.9988 (S2) 1.0005 (S1) 1.0016 (PP) 1.0032 (R1) 1.0049 (R2) 1.0060 (R3) 1.0076

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why Short position at levels 1.0000 with Stop Loss at 1.0020,Take Profit 1 at 0.9981 and Take Profit 2 at 0.9965 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count for April 12, 2012

2012-04-12 16:32:30 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
The AUD/USD pair finished developing C (coloured blue) yesterday during the Asian session at the 1.0225 level. During the European session this major pair started ascending thus developing 1 and 2 wave (coloured pink). Therefore during the New York session we could observe continuation of the bullish mood and price reaching a 1.0330 level. Today during the Asian move we saw positive news from Australia and we could observe strong upward move to the 1.0385 level. We can expect to see the AUD/USD higher today in a European and New York session. Presently we can observe 3 wave (coloured pink) of the bigger 1 wave (coloured blue). In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0225-1.0332-1.0270); the First Take Profit at 1.0462 (161.8% of wave 1). For Stop Loss we can use the invalidation point at 1.0332.Also it is necessary to consider the data concerning the U.S PPI m/m, Trade Balance, Unemployment Claims, Core PPI m/m and FOMC Member Lockhart Speaks that can affect the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 1.0178 (S2) 1.0219 (S1) 1.0244 (PP) 1.0285 (R1) 1.0326 (R2) 1.0351 (R3) 1.0392

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 1.0395 with Stop Loss at 1.0332 and Take Profit at 1.0462 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis for April 12, 2012

2012-04-12 16:29:17 (читать в оригинале)

Forecast:

At 0.9230 - 0.9260 a strong level will be formed providing a clear signal for Sell-deals with the target seen at 0.9140 level. Stop Loss is to be placed above 0.93.

 

Overview:

USD/CHF:

It is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points 0.93 and 0.9115, i.e. above the strong support level 0.9130 (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels on H4 chart). These levels correspond to 78% and 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels on the H4 chart. The pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.92605 and is presently approaching it for further testing. Therefore, the Swissie is expected to go downwards following the non-corrective structure and indicating the bearish opportunity below the 0.9260 level. Sell-deals are recommended below 0.9260 with the first target seen at the 0.9140 level. Thus downtrend is likely to continue the bearish movement towards the 0.91 level. Moreover, it is crucial that the price has probably formed a strong support at 0.9053 (23.6% of Fibonacci retracement levels on H4 chart). The saturation is likely to take place around 0.905. Therefore it is possible that the market will start showing the signs of a bullish behaviour. In other words, Buy-deals are recommended above 0.905 with the first target seen at the 0.913 level and further at the 0.92 level.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/CHF - Testing 1.4620 Again - Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations

2012-04-12 12:24:02 (читать в оригинале)

Technical Outlook:

“Trading is a gram of patience”, they say, and there is no better example than GBP/CHF. Bulls are determined to give one more try to get past resistance of 1.4620/30 levels. Please remember, our major trend defining resistance is 1.4790. Till the time prices are below that, it is suggested to sell all intraday rallies. Next 2 trading sessions are critical and would be trend setters. We are still awaiting a clear breakout.

 

 

Chart Setup:

As indicated above, we are still optimistic that the defined intermediary resistance at 1.4620/30 and Daily chart resistance at 1.4790 will hold good. Bulls are attempting again to test 1.4620 today. Bears need to worry only if prices break 1.4790, we shall reverse our trading direction only after that. Lets trade in accord to the facts… prices are being tested, not broken yet. We need to stick to our Trade Plan for now. Expect bears to regain control soon. Our measured downside projections are 1.3950. A clear break and sustained upside to 1.4790 will change our Trade Plan.
Bottom Line: Lower.

Trade Recommendations: Issued last week.

Sell @ 1.4520/40, Stop @ 1.4790, Target 1 @ 1.3950, Target 2 @ 1.3790

 

Best regards

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY - Hold on to Long Positions - Tehnical Analysis and Trading Recommendations

2012-04-12 12:08:55 (читать в оригинале)

Technical Outlook:

As discussed yesterday, a badly needed rally is being materialized now. Please notice, that the rally has just begun, the immediate upside target is the 107.50 level. This rally could further extend to the 109.00 and 110.00 levels. 105.50 will act as a support now. Hold on to long positions taken yesterday, we shall suggest to move stops by tomorrow.

 

 

Chart Setup:

As indicated above, we are in the buy zone of the longer term dropping resistance line and in the sell zone of the intermediary uptrend line that starts from the 97.00 level. The prices would at least incline to test the back side of the uptrend line, indicated by arrow - at prices 109.00 to 110.00, before they decide to reverse. Our recommended BUY has materialized and it is still suggested to stay long. Resistance on the Daily charts is placed at the 111.00 level, while the 105.50 level will provide support now.
Bottom Line: Higher.

Trading Recommendations: Issued on April 11, 2012

Buy at 105.60/80, Stop at 105.00, Target Open, Minimum Expectations are 109.00 - 110.00.

 

Best regards

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com