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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count and Fibonacci Levels for April 13, 2012

2012-04-13 10:48:47 (читать в оригинале)

The AUD/USD pair is developing the potential corrective wave B of the medium term uptrend (coral in the chart) from 1.0856. Within this wave there are four subwaves (light green in the chart); a potential corrective subwave 4 is developing from 1.0226. Within this wave we have A-B-C cycle that is developing at the moment (orange red in the chart), subwave C started at 1.0291.

Now the resistances are Fibonacci retracements 1.0636-1.0226.

Resistances:

- 1.0479 = .618 retracement

If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.0226-1.0451 and expansions 1.0856-1.0423-1.0636, 1.0636-1.0226-1.0451.

Supports:

- 1.0365 = .382 ret
- 1.0338 = .50 ret
- 1.0312 = .618 ret
- 1.0203-1.0190 = confluence area of objective point (OP) and contracted objective point (COP)

Overbought/Oversold

The larger wave is now moving up, so it is better to go long when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or into the oversold area (current prices as well). Consider the possibilities to go long at or near the indicated supports.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for April 13, 2012

2012-04-13 10:47:03 (читать в оригинале)

Pivot Point: 1.3166.

Time Frame: H4

 

Overview:

The EUR/USD pair has broken the resistance level and turned towards the support level near the last week's point 1.3110 (March 16, 2012). Therefore, the pair has already formed a strong support at 1.3110. Moreover, having failed to close below 1.31, the pair started showing a bullish market at this level. It is necessary to mention that these levels coincide with strong levels for bulls on H4 chart, and the pair has formed a strong support at the level 1.311. So the pair will move upwards which is a convincing fact; the structure of the upside movement looks as non-corrective indicating a bullish opportunity above 1.3110. This can be a good sign to buy the pair above 1.3110 with the first target at 1.33 initiating an uptrend in order to continue the bullish mood towards the point 1.317 and further to 1.3300. However, it should also be noted that the price is still between 1.3390 and 1.32, as the RSI and the last strong resistance level are still able to begin a downtrend at this level. So the market indicates a bearish opportunity at the level 1.3305 on H4 chart with the first target 1.317 (Weekly Pivot Point) and continues towards 1.31.

Trading Recommendations:

 

According to previous events, the price is still located between 1.3305 and 1.3170.

 

Buy-deals should be opened above 1.3130 with the targets seen at 1.317 and 1.33 levels.
Below 1.3303 look for further downside pace with the first target seen at 1.3223 and 1.3170 levels.

Technical Levels:

R3: 1,3343
R2: 1,3277
R1: 1,3232
PP: 1,3166
S1: 1,3121
S2: 1,3055
S3: 1,3010

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis (Linear Regression Channel) for April 12, 2012

2012-04-12 16:53:42 (читать в оригинале)

 

GBP/USD Linear regression channel for the hourly chart gives the following data :
The GBP/USD currency pair has been trading within a wide range slightly bullish Yellow channel for the past three days.
Since the moment GBP/USD managed to fixate above 1.5888, it gathered bullish strength pushing to the upside towards the upper limit of the Yellow channel at 1.5965.
Price levels 1.5965 and 1.6000 stand as Solid Intraday Resistance levels which are worth watching today for a possible valid low risk SELL entry.
SL is to be located above 1.6030. Targets are open to be determined according to strength of the coming movement.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for April 12, 2012

2012-04-12 16:49:19 (читать в оригинале)

From 1.5600 to 1.6060 the GBP/USD pair was considered as bullish as it was moving within the depicted bullish channel which has been broken through last week.
The GBP/USD pair showed the massive bearish reaction after testing the 1.6060 level and breaking down 1.5880 - the prominent support level, reaching the point 1.5830, which is a support level on the 4H chart (50% Fibonacci level).
The massive bearish reaction that was able to break down the lower limit of the depicted channel favours the bearish prospective rather than bullish one. However, having failed to break through 1.5830 for two successive times, it managed to bring bullish strength into the market since then probably having aimed at 1.5960 - 1.5990, hence as expected, 1.5830 constituted a solid short-term BUY entry towards 1.5945-1.5970.
What favoured the expected short-term bullish retracement is that the pair was trapped between 1.5880 and 1.5830 forming a confirmed short-term Head & Shoulders reversal pattern to be targeting to the backside of the lower limit of the broken channel to complete the right shoulder of the major Head & Shoulders pattern.
Proceeding from the former price action to the current price zone 1.5830-1.6060 we can see that the GBP/USD pair is probably forming a H&S reversal pattern with neckline at 1.5830 and the right shoulder that is expected to be placed around 1.5945-1.5970 which constitutes a valid low/risk SELL entry.
Breakthrough above the last recorded high at 1.6062 invalidates the bearish scenario. However, a breakdown of 1.5830 will confirm the reversal pattern allowing the GBP/USD to reach 1.5777 and 1.5650.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis for April 12, 2012.

2012-04-12 16:40:06 (читать в оригинале)

 

Pivot Point: 1.5899.

GBP/USD:

• Resistance: 1.6020. (Sell below this level).
  
• Support: 1.5760. (Buy above this level).
  

Trading Recommendations:

 

According to previous events, the price is still located between levels 1.5800 and 1.5915.

 

BUY-deals are recommended higher than the 1.576 level with targets at levels 1.59 and 1.6.
The descending movement will probably take place lower than the 1.6020 level with the first targets at levels 1.59, 1.5855 and 1.57.

Overview:

It should be noted that the market revealed the signs of instability. The trend movement was controversial as it took place in a narrow sideways channel. Concerning the previous events, the price is still between the levels 1.58005 and 1.5915 so it is recommended to be cautious while making deals in this area. Therefore, it is necessary to wait till the sideways channel is passed through. Then, the market will probably indicate the signs of a bullish trend. In other words, BUY-deals are recommended higher than the 1.576 level with its first target at level 1.5875. From this point the pair is likely to begin the ascending movement to the point 1.59 and further to the level 1.6. However, if the pair fails to pass through the level 1.6020, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity below the strong resistance level 1.6020. In this regard, SELL-deals are recommended lower than the 1.6 level with the first target of 1.59. It is possible that the pair will turn to downward movement continuing the development of the bearish trend to the level 1.57.

Intraday Technical levels (the 12^nd of April, 2012):

R3: 1,6032
R2: 1,5985
R1: 1,5946
PP: 1,5899
S1: 1,5860
S2: 1,5813
S3: 1,5774

Definition (s):

 

Range I – A long-term mean reversion strategy that looks to go against strong divergence from the pair’s average value. It will typically hold trades for an extended period of time and is one of the slower moving trading strategies.

Range II– Like Breakout 2, uses sentiment as a filter for its trades. It will use a simple oscillator range trading strategy but only take the trading signals if SSI is not at extremes. It is fairly short-term in nature and will tend to trade very little during times of strong trending moves. It is likewise one of the most volatility-sensitive trading systems and will tend to do poorly during times of sharp currency moves.

Observation (s):

Please check out the market volatility before investing, as the sight price may have already been reached and scenarios become invalidate.
Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com