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USD/JPY Intraday Technical Levels for April 19, 2012
2012-04-19 10:34:40 (читать в оригинале)
TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3 : 81.89.
Resistance. 2 : 81.73.
Resistance. 1 : 81.57.
Support. 1 : 81.36.
Support. 2 : 81.20.
Support. 3 : 81.04.
DESCRIPTION :
Please, pay attention to the levels of support. 3 (81.04) and resistance. 3 (81.89), in general, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign of that these currencies have found trends today.
Best regards,
Arief Makmur
Official Analyst of InstaForex Companies Group
USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for April 18, 2012
2012-04-18 17:00:49 (читать в оригинале).png)
The USD/CAD Linear Regression Channels chart indicates:
On Monday the USD/CAD pair has failed to reach 1.0050 showing significant bearish price action including a Head and Shoulders reversal pattern that later indicated the bearish movement.
This bearish movement took place yesterday after the breakdown of level 0.9975 which was considered as the key-level of yesterday's movement.
Today the violet channel is steeply bearish due to the yesterday's steep bearish movement towards 0.9865. However, the USD/CAD pair has managed to break through today in early trading sessions.
This fact renders 0.9870 a solid Intraday support for the pair corresponding to the backside of the broken channel & the lower limit of the intact Yellow channel.
The USD/CAD pair has an Intraday resistance level located at 0.9950 & another stronger resistance level at 1.0030.
Buying USD/CAD at 0.9870 is rendered a valid low/risk BUY entry with TP located at 0.9950 & 0.9980 while SL is to be located below 0.9828.
USD/JPY Wave Analysis for April 18, 2012
2012-04-18 16:13:29 (читать в оригинале)
Wave marking analysis:
In course of yesterday’s trades the USD/JPY pair continued the slow rebound from the newly reached high 80.30. Therefore, we can suppose that the wave C of the whole descending correction developing since March 21 has completed the formation of its inner wave structure. If that is true, then the yesterday’s ascending movement will continue towards the point 81.50 or level of the figure 82. At the same time the wave 3 in C is likely to become more complicated and the price in turn will reach the point 79.00.
Targets for the option with continuation and further complication of the descending correction or its transformation into downside impulse movement:
79.91 – 127.2% according to Fibonacci
Targets for the option with the resumption or beginning of the new impulse upward movement:
80.97 – 76.4% according to Fibonacci
81.27 – 61.8% according to Fibonacci
General conclusions and trading recommendations:
At the moment it is quite possible to resume the formation of the ascending part of the trend with target seen in the area of figure 85. Presently we can see the descent within the wave 4 of the global ascending trend. The current correction has downside targets at level 76.91 which is equal to 127.2% according to Fibonacci. Every day the correction is getting more and more complicated and, therefore, there are not so many chances to resume the uprising part of the trend. If the quotes move below the point 80.50, it will be almost impossible to rise towards the point 85.00.
USD/CAD Elliott Wave Count for April 18, 2012
2012-04-18 14:32:34 (читать в оригинале).png)
USD/CAD Elliott Wave
Yesterday the USD/CAD pair was trading within the downward movement. During the European session we could observe the price reaching daily high at 1.0011 level. We can consider this move as end of wave 2 (coloured blue). Therefore during the New York session the USD/CAD pair start falling rapidly after bad Housing Starts, we could observe price testing 0.9865 support level. We can consider this move as wave 3 (coloured blue).Today during the Asian session the USD/CAD pair was developing 4 wave and we are expecting to see price in a bearish mood today for 5 wave. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0049-0.9925-1.0032); the Take Profit at 0.9832 (161.8% of wave 1). For Stop Loss we can use the resistance level at 0.9925.Also it is necessary to consider the data concerning the USD Crude Oil Inventories and CAD BOC Monetary Policy Report, BOC Press Conference that can affect the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 0.9778 (S2) 0.9834 (S1) 0.9869 (PP) 0.9925 (R1) 0.9981 (R2) 1.0016 (R3) 1.0072
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 0.9880 with Stop Loss at 09925 and Take Profit at 0.9832 are recommended.
AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count for April 18, 2012
2012-04-18 13:41:56 (читать в оригинале).png)
AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Yesterday the AUD/USD pair was trading within the upward movement. During the Asian session we could observe the descending movement towards the point 1.0304. We can consider this move as the end of the wave 2 (coloured blue). The AUD/USD pair did not manage to hold this level and we can observe the strong bullish mood during the European and New York sessions towards the 1.0417 level. We can consider this move as end of wave 1 (coloured pink) of the bigger wave 3 (coloured blue).Today during the Asian market the AUD/USD pair start pushing in a downward move to the 1.0370 level and we expect to see the price back to 1.0400 level today. Presently we can observe the end of the wave 2 (coloured pink), so we can enter Long for 3 wave. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0304-1.0417-1.0348); the First Take Profit at 1.0469 (100% of wave 1) and Second Take Profit at 1.0540 (161.8% of wave 1). For Stop Loss we can use the invalidation point at 1.0304. Also it is necessary to consider the data concerning the U.S Crude Oil Inventories that can affect the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 1.0256 (S2) 1.0300 (S1) 1.0326 (PP) 1.0370 (R1) 1.0414 (R2) 1.0440 (R3) 1.0484
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 1.0380 with Stop Loss at 1.0304, Take Profit 1 at 1.0469 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0540 are recommended.
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священник Стефан Красовицкий |
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