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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count for May 2, 2012
2012-05-02 10:01:54 (читать в оригинале)(1).png)
AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Yesterday after the RBA had decided to cut the interest rate from 4.25 to 3.75, we observed a start of the downward movement in the AUD/USD pair. During the Asian session we could observe a strong descending movement towards the 1.0330 level. Therefore during the early European session prices continued trading in a bearish mood and price reached a 4-day low at the 1.0304 level. We can consider this move as the end of the 2 wave (coloured pink). During the New York session the AUD/USD pair started pushing higher and we saw the price at the 1.0350 level. Today the price started the Asian session in a bullish mood and AUD/USD is trying to test 200EMA resistance. We expect to see the price above 1.0400 today. In accordance with our wave rules, taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0246-1.0473-1.0304); the First Take Profit at 1.0531 (100% of wave 1) and Second Take Profit at 1.0672 (161.8% of wave 1). As Stop Loss we can use the invalidation point at 1.0304. It is also necessary to consider the data concerning the U.S. ADP Non-Farm Employment Change, Factory Orders m/m, Crude Oil Inventories and FOMC Member Lacker Speech that can affect the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 1.0231 (S2) 1.0279 (S1) 1.0308 (PP) 1.0355 (R1) 1.0403 (R2) 1.0432 (R3) 1.0479
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the upwnward movement. That is why Long positions at level 1.0365 with Stop Loss at 1.0304, Take Profit 1 at 1.0531 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0672 are recommended.
USD/CHF Technical Analysis for May 2, 2012
2012-05-02 09:54:44 (читать в оригинале)Forecast:
- At 0.9220 a strong level (Resistance) will be formed providing a clear signal for Sell-deals with the target seen at the 0.9040 level. Stop Loss is to be placed above 0.9255.
- At 0.9000 a strong level (Support) will be formed providing a clear signal for Buy-deals with the target seen at 0.91 level; 0.922. Stop Loss is to be placed below 0.8900.

Overview:
USD/CHF:
It is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points 0.93 and 0.90, i.e. above the strong resistance level 0.922. The pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.9220 and is presently approaching it for the further testing. Therefore, the Swissie is expected to go downwards following the non-corrective structure and indicating the bearish opportunity below the 0.922 level. Sell-deals are recommended below 0.922 with the first target seen at the 0.9100 level. Thus, the downtrend is likely to continue the bearish movement towards the 0.90 level. Moreover, it is crucial that the price has probably formed a strong support at 0.8950 - 0.9. The saturation is likely to take place around 0.905. Therefore it is possible that the market will start showing the signs of a bullish behaviour. In other words, Buy-deals are recommended above 0.8950 -- 0.9 with the first target seen at the 0.9130 level and further at the 0.9200 level.
Weekly Technical Levels:

USD/JPY Intraday Technical Levels for May 2, 2012
2012-05-02 09:15:24 (читать в оригинале)TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Resistance. 3 : 80.57.
Resistance. 2 : 80.41.
Resistance. 1 : 80.25.
Support. 1 : 80.06.
Support. 2 : 79.90.
Support. 3 : 79.74.
DESCRIPTION :
Please, pay attention to the levels of support. 3 (79.74) and resistance. 3 (80.57), in general, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign of that these currencies have found trends today.
The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com
EUR/USD Intraday Technical Levels for May 02, 2012
2012-05-02 09:09:26 (читать в оригинале)TODAY's TECHNICAL LEVELS:
Breakout BUY Level : 1.3301.
Strong Resistance : 1.3293.
Original Resistance : 1.3281.
Inner Sell Area : 1.3268.
Target Inner Area : 1.3237.
Inner Buy Area : 1.3205.
Original Support : 1.3193.
Strong Support : 1.3180.
Breakout SELL Level : 1.3172.
DESCRIPTION :
Today EUR/USD has support and resistance at 1.3193 and 1.3281 and is accompanied by strong support at 1.3180 and by 1.3293 as strong resistance.
If EUR/USD breaks out and closes below a 1.3172-level today, then this will indicate considerable bearish strength, while if EUR/USD manages to break out and close above a 1.3301-level, then this will denote high bullish strength. Alternatively, you can trade in a way to open a BUY position at the level of 1.3205, and at 1.3268– a SELL position, in this case both targets should be located at the level of 1.3237.
The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.comEUR/USD Around Bearish Trendline - May 01, 2012 (Daily Strategy)
2012-05-01 19:25:56 (читать в оригинале)
The EUR/USD pair is about to reach 1.32. It is necessary to consider the speech of ECB president Mario Draghi announced the monetary policy of the state on Thursday. This may be decisive for the future of the Euro.
In technical terms the euro is trading far below the downtrend line, but according to Momentum indicators and Range provides the bearish signals and a possible imminent correcion. On the other hand if the euro would break the downtrend line and the negotiation of today closed above the 1.3280 level. This fact points that the euro continued its upward trend to 1.3370; therefore selling is recommended at 1.3240 level.
The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com
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