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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count for May 3, 2012

2012-05-03 15:24:59 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Yesterday the AUD/USD pair was trading in a downward move. During the European session we could observe a descending movement towards the 1.0320 level. Therefore during the early New York session the price continued trading in a bearish mood and reached the 1.0283 level. So AUD/USD did not manage to hold this level in a second half of the New York, and we could observe price to retrace to 50 EMA resistance. Today during the Asian session we could observe the price under the 1.0300 level again. We are awaiting to see it higher soon.
Presently we can see the end of the wave 2 (coloured pink). In accordance with our wave rules, taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0246-1.0473-1.0274); the First Take Profit at 1.0504 (100% of wave 1) and Second Take Profit at 1.0644 (161.8% of wave 1). As Stop Loss we can use the invalidation point at 1.0246. It is also necessary to consider the data concerning the U.S. Unemployment Claims, Prelim. Non-farm Productivity q/q, Prelim. Unit Labour Costs q/q, ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI, FOMC Member Williams Speech and FOMC Member Lockhart Speech, that can affect the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance levels
(S3) 1.0254 (S2) 1.0280 (S1) 1.0297 (PP) 1.0324 (R1) 1.0350 (R2) 1.0367 (R3) 1.0394

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules, today the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why Long positions at level 1.0320 with Stop Loss at 1.0246, Take Profit 1 at 1.0504 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0644 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/CHF Breaks through 1.4790, Expect Rally to Gain Momentum - Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations

2012-05-03 12:36:32 (читать в оригинале)

 

Technical Outlook and Chart Setups:

GBP/CHF went past the resistance barrier of 1.4790, which was holding since last 4 weeks. We expect this rally to gain momentum further after a test of past resistance which turned into  support line, as depicted above in RED. The region of 1.4780/90 should provide support now. Furthermore, the channel support remains intact to give confidence to our bullish momentum. It is recommended to remain long for now.

Trade Recommendations:

Bought around 1.4700, stop at 106.00, targetting 1.5 levels in the sessions to come.

 

Best regards,

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-05-03 11:38:45 (читать в оригинале)

 

Gold is currently testing the intermediate support of its medium term bearish channel at 1,645 suggesting a rebound. However, a break through this level will trigger a decline to the lower limit – 1,620.

Technical indicators do not provide clears signal but are approaching the oversell zone supporting the assumption of a rebound. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong decline these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term.

According to previous events the market will provide a bullish opportunity at the level of 1,645 with the 1st objective at 1,655 and then at 1,660. A break through 1,642 will alter this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for May 3, 2012

2012-05-03 11:37:47 (читать в оригинале)

GBP/JPY is developing corrective wave B of medium term uptrend from 127.04 (royal blue in the chart). Within this wave we have two subwaves (magenta in the chart), and potential corrective subwave B is developing from 129.02. Within it there are two subwaves (red in the chart), and subwave B is developing from 130.71.

Now the targets above the current price are Fibonacci expansions off 127.04-131.75-129.02, 129.02-130.71-129.42.

Resistances:

- 131.11 = objective point (OP)
- 131.93 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 132.15 = expanded objective point (XOP)

If the downtrend resumes the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 127.04-131.75, and expansions off 131.75-129.02-130.71.

Supports:

- 129.02 = COP
- 128.84 = .618 retracement
- 127.98 = OP

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving up, so it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or into the oversold area (35-55 pips below the current prices). Watch for opportunities to go long at or near the indicated supports.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for May 3, 2012

2012-05-03 11:37:29 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD is developing potential corrective wave B (light green in the chart) of medium term uptrend. Within this wave there are three subwaves (red in the chart), and impulse subwave C is developing from 1.0354.

The targets below are Fibonacci expansions off 1.0473-1.0304-1.0354, 1.0354-1.0284-1.0337.

Supports:

- 1.0267 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0250 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0224 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0185 = OP

If the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.0473-1.0284.

Resistances:

- 1.0356 = .382 retracement
- 1.0378 = .50 ret
- 1.0401 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold

The larger wave is now moving down, so it's prefereable to go short when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (10-30 pips above the current prices), watch for possibilities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com