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USD/CHF Weekly Technical Levels for May 7 - 11, 2012

2012-05-07 11:16:20 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

Tip (s):

R3 and S3 are considered as clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility though it is possible to pass them through. 

Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 line.

Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.

In case of the breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach  R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Observation (s):

• If the trend is of upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: USD is an uptrend and CHF is a downtrend.
• Most of the traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurately the psychological support and resistance levels.
  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Weekly Technical Levels for May 7 - 11, 2012

2012-05-07 11:15:42 (читать в оригинале)

Weekly Technical Levels:

Tip (s):

R3 and S3 are considered as clear indicators of the maximum range of extreme volatility though it is possible to pass them through. 

Pivot lines work well on the sideways markets, as the prices are most likely to be located between the R1 and S1 line.

Within a strong trend the price is expected to be lower than the pivot point line and continue the movement.

In case of the breaking news release that may affect the market, the price is likely to go straight through R1 or S1 and even reach  R2 & R3 or S2 & S3.

Observation (s):

• If the trend is of upside character, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
• Most of the traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurately the psychological support and resistance levels.
  

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Sell Bellow 1.0200 for May 04, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-05-04 18:48:45 (читать в оригинале)

The interest rate cut from the RBA will be released in recent days as the data on the slowdown in the Australian economy that coinsides with a significant drop in an ounce of gold. All these data show a gloomy future for the aussie.

Technically the figures show targets on the daily chart located near 1.00 and 0.9985 levels.

According to the daily fractal table we can see an important fractal 1.0240 locate closely below this level. This fact increases the probability of a fall to parity against the dollar. Therefore, we recommend selling just below the 1.0200 level with targets seen at 0.9985 level of U.S. dollars per Australian dollar.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Sell Below 1.6170 for May 04, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-05-04 18:39:24 (читать в оригинале)

 

The British pound was traded at 1.6185 against the dollar, tending slightly bearish an the daily chart near the strong support 1.6170; the breakdown of this level could change the course of crossing the American session. On the other hand, a return to the recorded high could be a clear opportunity to sell in the correction. We believe that the upward trend of the pound will not last for long time.

The indicators show an overbought market. The correction is expected to continue till the beginning of the next week.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Unemployment Rate - Fundamental Analysis for May 04, 2012

2012-05-04 18:28:19 (читать в оригинале)

 

Every month the first Friday comes with high expectations generated by the data of U.S. jobs.

The consensus of economists polls of specialized agencies show over 160,000 new jobs created in April compared to March 120,000. This figure is to be revised, of course.

But just those 120,000 jobs created in March were the first in a row of negative data on the U.S. economy which could be observed throughout the month.

The measurement date is the nearest preceding ADP survey which takes into account the employment in private companies and is not encouraging as well: there were forecasts of over 180 thousand new jobs although only 119, 000 were registered.

The unemployment rate, the true barometer of the constantly changing work situation in the United States remains currently at 8.2%. This rate has been falling steadily and while it is still far from reasonable values the world's largest economy has also moved away from 10.2% in early 2009 and remained with a dramatic figure of 9.8% until December 2010.

In any case the question on who will conduct the currency amid the announcement is in focus of our attention.

As it was before there is a consensus of analysts who believe the euro will leave the area of 1.30 if not today, then at least in the next few days. It is necessary to consider this opportunity. The single currency appears to be strangely strong, although the debt crisis in southern Europe is growing every month, as the President of the ECB, Mario Draghi on Thursday was talking about the necessity of efforts to tackle the problem.

With respect to other leading currencies and excluding the Swiss franc, the euro has reached the 1.20 level; the pound sterling’s positions is not so clear, although there were some signs of exhaustion in its recent upwards movement resulting in significant drop against the dollar.
The yen in its turn remains very strong and is very likely to continue its growth in the nearest future, especially if the jobs data from the United States is not satisfactory to the markets and investors seek refuge in a safe asset.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com