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Medium-term outlook for Sell-deals on the US stock market for May 8, 2012

2012-05-08 12:22:47 (читать в оригинале)

Our outlook for the US stock market remains bearish, so first of all let us consider the following candidates for Sell-deals: International Paper and United Tech. Both candidates have reached their lows. That is why there is a possibility to trade on a breakdown. The key level for the first company’s shares is USD32, for the second one -USD78. In case indices continue the descending movement from their bid level, the shares of these companies are recommended to be included in the short-term portfolios.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/CHF Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for May 8, 2012

2012-05-08 12:09:39 (читать в оригинале)

4H

General picture:
On May 8 the USD/CHF pair has slightly dropped. At the moment the pair is trying to resume the ascending movement. This fact will be indicated by MACD that is expected to change its direction to uprising one. The current signal for Buy-deals is confirmed and strong as the Chinkou Span is fixed above the price chart and the price is located above the Ichimoku Cloud. That is why target for upward movement is seen at the first resistance level 0.9229. In case this level is passed though, the new target for bullish trade – the second resistance level 0.9278 will be available. The upward movement remains the same as long as the price is located above the Kijun-Sen (0.9175). While bullish trade it is preferable to lace the Stop Loss below this line. In case this line goes lower than this line, the signal for Buy-deals will weaken confirming the current signal for Buy-deals and indicating the bearish mood on the USD/CHF market. Bollinger Bands points at the continuation of the upward movement, lines are expanding and directed upwards. Therefore, it is recommended to consider long positions. MACD is directed to the upside and indicate the current downward movement of the price. Therefore, it is recommended to refrain from opening and supporting long positions before the reversal of the indicator.

Trading recommendations:
On the USD/CHF market it is recommended to consider long positions with first target seen at the 0.9229 level. When this level has been passed through, the target for Buy-deals will be seen at the 0.9278 level. Stop Loss is to be placed lower than 0.9175 and if this line goes downwards Stop Loss is to be placed after it. It is recommended to open long positions after the reversal of the MACD to upwards. With 50-60 pips of profit Stop Loss can be placed into the zero area. Take profits are to be set a bit lower than the target level (10 pips approximately).

Apart from the technical picture it is necessary to consider the fundamental data and the time of its release.

Explanations to the picture:
Ichimoku Indicator:
Tenkan-Sen – red line
Kijun-Sen – blue line
Senkou Span A – light brown dotted line
Senkou Span B – light blue dotted line
Chinkou Span – green line
Senkou Span B – violet dotted line
Bollinger Bands:
3 yellow lines
MACD Indicator:
Red line and the histogram with white bars in the indicators window.

If you like this article, vote for the author in Analyst of the Year Contest.

My Blog with additional information to the analysis.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-05-08 11:29:00 (читать в оригинале)

 

At the moment the spot rate is testing the intermediate resistance of its medium term bearish channel at 104.40 and is about to decline. However, a breakthrough of these levels will release a potential enabling to reach its upper limit in the point 106.10.

Technical indicators provide sell-signals but approching the oversell zone supports the assumption of a breakdown of its resistance. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.

Proceeding from previous events the market will provide a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate has broken through its resistance of 104.40 with the 1st objectives seen at 105.00 and 105.20 levels. A breakdown 104.20 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GOLD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-05-08 11:25:26 (читать в оригинале)

 

Gold is presently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium term bearish channel at 1,645 and is likely to decline. However, in case these levels are passed though, the significant potential will be released enabling  to reach its upper limit in 1,668.

Technical indicators provide sellers signals but as long as the resistance is not broken, the assumption of possible decline is relevant. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.

Considering previous events the market will provide a bullish opportunity as soon as the gold has broken through its resistance of 1,645 with 1,655 and 1,658 seen as targets. If the level 1,642 is passed through, the proposed scenario will be invalidated.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count and Fibonacci Levels for May 8, 2012

2012-05-08 11:20:46 (читать в оригинале)

The AUD/USD pair is developing an impulse wave A (light green in the chart) of the medium term downtrend. Within this wave there are four subwaves (red in the chart) and a potential corrective subwave 4 developing from 1.0110 that comprises smaller subwaves (yellow in the chart); a potential corrective subwave 4 is still developing from 1.0110.

The downside targets are Fibonacci expansions of 1.0473-1.0304-1.0354, 1.0354-1.0110-1.0219.

Supports:

- 1.0081 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0068 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 0.9975 = objective point (OP)

If the price reverses to the upside, the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 1.0354-1.0110, 1.0473-1.0110 and expansions of 1.0110-1.0219-1.0167.

Resistances:

- 1.0232-34 = confluence area of .50 retracement and COP
- 1.0249 = .382 ret
- 1.0261 = .618 ret
- 1.0276 = OP
- 1.0292 = .50 ret

Overbought/Oversold

The larger wave is now moving down, so it is prefereable to go short when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (15-25 pips above the current prices). Consider the possibilities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com