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AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for May 14, 2012

2012-05-14 12:01:38 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD is developing impulse wave A (light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend. Within this wave there are three subwaves (magenta in the chart), and impulse subwave C is developing from 1.0219. Within the latter we also have three subwaves (red in the chart), and impulse subwave C is developing from 1.0142.

The targets below are Fibonacci expansions off 1.0473-1.0110-1.0219, 1.0219-1.0020-1.0142, 1.0142-1.0017-1.0077.

Supports:

- 0.9995 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 0.9952 = objective point (OP)
- 0.9943 = OP
- 0.9875 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 0.9856 = OP

If the price reverses to the upside, the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of the way down from 1.0219 - this wave is not developed yet, so no resistances are available so far.

Overbought/Oversold

The larger wave is now moving down, so it's prefereable to go short when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (20-35 pips above the current prices), watch for possibilities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Buy Above 1.2905 for May 11, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-05-11 18:32:10 (читать в оригинале)

 The EUR/USD pair has been trading very closely to the weekly low of 1.2905. The probability of an upward bounce is imminent, but it is necessary to be cautious and do not sell at current levels.

We must wait for the fundamental data release. In view of this range indicator is oversold and is showing signs of a correction. Therefore, we recommend buying 1.2920 with short-term to 1.3200

The Stop Loss is to be placed below the 1.2905 level. Around the 1.2890. We are concerened about operating the instruments in the oversold area.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Double Bottom for May 11, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-05-11 18:25:18 (читать в оригинале)

The Australian dollar is trading  very closely to the weekly low of 1.0020. The probability of an upward bounce is imminent, but we must be cautious because it is better to refrain from selling at current levels.

We must wait for the fundamental data are published to enter an order. In view of the MACD indicator is oversold and is showing signs of a correction. Momentum indicator also shows good opportunity to buy the pair at low price. Therefore, we recommend buying 1.0029 with short-term to 1.0272.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Fundamental Analysis, for May 11, 2012

2012-05-11 18:15:34 (читать в оригинале)

 

The dollar remained strong during the day on all fronts, dragging down major currencies.
Although the JP Morgan presented significant losses on its balance sheet, the Dow managed to close higher maintaining a slight downward trend in the short term.

Technically, it seems that the dollar will extend gains in the long run. Other majors have passed through the highs of EUR/USD and AUD/USD and seen as double bottom formations corresponding to a recovery of the euro and the Aussie for the next hours. The same is for pairs USD / CHF and USD / CAD and their respective figures.

The American session has not started yet and the daily data are not available. When the trend is quite complicated to change it considering that the reports from Canada as well as the rate of U.S. wholesale inflation (both at 8:30 Eastern) and the preliminary consumer confidence report from the University of Michigan released at 9:55 have influenced the trend.

Remember that coins crossing dollar’s low have been trading for several weeks or months and changed the direction in quite similar way taking into account the reports and actions of Wall Street.
The British pound is the only exception: it remains strong and is able to reach new highs in the coming hours. It was favored by the wholesale inflation data but it still is located in the area of 1.6060.

The yen, meanwhile, is also strong and unchanged. But a falling dollar can also affect the JPY in the coming hours.
Gold and oil have the signs of exhaustion. In general the day is favorable for the dollar.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Linear Regression Channels for May 11, 2012

2012-05-11 16:43:15 (читать в оригинале)

Considering the Hourly chart of the GBP/USD currency pair:

We can see that the Linear Regression channels depicted above are contradictory as the violet & blue ones are bullish. However, the Yellow channel is bearish indicating the longer-term bearish tendency of the pair.

The Bearish Reaction towards the upper limits of the Violet, Blue & Yellow channels at 1.6180 shouldn't be ignored as it favours the bearish view for the pair.

The GBP/USD pair had a significant Intraday Support Level located around 1.6125 corresponding to the lower limit of the Violet channel & the mid-line of the Yellow one which got broken few hours ago.

Retesting of the backside of the broken Violet channel at 1.6125 will probably be a valid SELL entry with TP levels located at 1.6095,1.6065 & 1.6035.

 

SL should be located above 1.6175.

 

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The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com