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GBP/JPY Elliott Wave Count and Fibonacci levels for May 31, 2012

2012-05-31 10:56:50 (читать в оригинале)

The GBP/JPY pair is developing an impulse wave C of the medium term downtrend from 129.32 (light green in the chart). Within this wave we have three subwaves (magenta in the chart) and an impulse subwave C is developing from 126.39. Within this wave we also have three subwaves (red in the chart) including impulse subwave C developing from 125.03.

Presently the downside targets are Fibonacci expansions of 131.75-127.76-129.33, 129.33-124.59-126.39, 126.39-124.08-125.03, 125.03-124.33-124.92.

Supports:

- 121.65 = objective point (OP)
- 121.29 = expanded objective point (XOP)

If the price reverses to the upside, the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 125.03-121.71.

Resistances:

- 122.98 = .382 retracement
- 123.37 = .50 ret
= 123.76 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving downwards, so it is preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (current prices as well). Consider the opportunities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count and Fibonacci levels for May 31, 2012

2012-05-31 10:55:00 (читать в оригинале)

The AUD/USD pair is developing an impulse wave A (light green in the chart) of the medium term downtrend. Within this wave we have three subwaves (royal blue in the chart), and impulse subwave C is developing from 0.9897 comprisisng  three subwaves (orange red in the chart) and a subwave C developing from 0.9855

Presently the immediate supports are Fibonacci expansions of 0.9897-0.9800-0.9855.

Supports:

- 0.9601 = super expanded objective point (SXOP)

If the price reverses to the upside, the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 0.9897-0.9673.

Resistances:

- 0.9759 = .382 retracement
- 0.9785 = .50 ret
- 0.9811 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving downwards, so it is preferable to try short positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes above the zero level (current prices) or into the overbought area (5-15 pips above the current prices). Consider the opportunities to go short at or near the indicated resistances.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Fundamental Analysis For May 30 /2012

2012-05-30 18:20:39 (читать в оригинале)

 

The dollar is reaching an almost two years high while the euro continues to drop due to the worsening debt crisis in Europe.

Placements of debt of Spain and Italy, the two main objects of concerns for the old continent are again approaching record highs leading to default rates of Greece.

So far the IMF or the European Central Bank have not responded, so two entities are still full of good intentions though unable to make any decision. Perhaps the ability to react to the Fed in due time could solve the current problem in the countries mentioned above.
The euro lost more positions on all fronts due to this crisis. Against the pound sterling it has just reached its lowest since November 2008, even though the latter also has given nearly 500 points against the dollar in recent weeks.

Moreover, the strong yen sought after as a refuge to the poor performance of the euro and other currencies, is considered risky and makes the crossing EUR / JPY back to look at historic lows, the last of which struck on 16 January at 97.05. The current price of this junction is 98.40.
European stocks turn down operations in Tuesday's session, with losses averaging 0.7%, and no doubt reflect the pessimistic climate that plagues Europe. The creation of the so-called Eurobond which practically means economic issues puts off the outrages of Southern governments among all member countries of the eurozone. The only solution appears to be fairly feasible in the block rather than ideological divisions, namely a branch cultural work culture on the one hand, and the state of living on another. The latter, common in other parts of South America, but new to Europe, has created the current problem.

Facing the American session, the Dow Jones index futures have taken a marked downtrend on 4 hours charts. Few of them could give continuity to the sale of European currencies which presently is not expected to have a turnaround in the nearest future.
As to the daily data on the pending home sales in the U.S. was released at 10:00 Eastern looming as the only major report.

 

 If you need a personal consultation, adress me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me by clicking here!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Weekly Analysis For May 30 /2012 (Weekly Strategy)

2012-05-30 18:06:53 (читать в оригинале)

The weekly technical analysis for the EUR/USD pair shows an important key level 1.2400 as the nearest support. We believe this is a good level because the pair is very oversold. If we notice, the weekly trend line has been broken which means that the pair have long-term bearish implications.

Therefore, it is recommended to wait a torque recovery as part of the pullback to 1.2950 area. At that level we recommend selling as part of a new sequence of bearish medium-term with objectives to 1.2000. If crisisis in the eurozone continues, it is likely that the euro will reach this level.

If you need a personal consultation, adress me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me by clicking here!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Under Pressure For May 30/ 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-05-30 18:03:42 (читать в оригинале)

 Australian Dollar falls to the last week's low covering the gap that had been left earlier this week under growing pressure from external funding. The rumors say that the Chinese program of additional stimulus will not be extensive. This data remains unfavorable.

On a technical level, we note that the Aussie is above the downtrend line finishing its usual pullback, which shows that it is a good opportunity to buy the pair at 0.9730
With objectives to parity around 1.0038. The Stop loss is to placed below the monthly minimum.

If you need a personal consultation, adress me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my technical analysis, please vote for me by clicking here!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com