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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-06-13 10:58:07 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate resistance of its medium term bullish channel at 1.5610 and seems to initiate a decline. However, a break through these levels will release good potential and reach the upper limit of this one – 1.5690.

 

Technical indicators provide sell-signals and until the resistance is not broken the assumption of a decline is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
According to previous events the market will provide a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate has broken through its resistance of 1.5610 with the 1st objective at 1.5670 and then at 1.5690. A break through 1.5590 will invalidate this scenario.

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-06-13 10:56:58 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate is currently testing the intermediate support of its medium term bearish channel at 1.2430 suggesting a rebound. However, a break through this level will trigger a decline to the lower limit – 1.2220.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but until the support is not broken the assumption of a rebound is most likely. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
According to previous events the market will provide a bullish opportunity at the level of 1.2430 with the 1st objective at 1.2490 and then at 1.2510. A break through 1.2410 will alter this scenario.

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AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for June 13, 2012

2012-06-13 10:40:34 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD is developing corrective wave B (light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 0.9581. Within this wave we have three subwaves (magenta in the chart), and impulse subwave C is developing from 0.9820. Within the latter potential impulse subwave C (red in the chart) is developing from 0.9850.

Now the immediate resistances are Fibonacci retracements of 1.0473-0.9581, and expansions off 0.9581-1.0002-0.9820, 0.9820-1.0007-0.9850.

Resistances:

- 0.9966 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0027 = .50 retracement
- 1.0037 = objective point (OP)
- 1.0080 = COP
- 1.0132 = .618 ret
- 1.0153 = expanded objective point (XOP)

If the price reverses to the downside the immediate supports will be Fibonacci retracements of 0.9581-1.0007, and expansions off 1.0007-0.9850-0.9970.

Supports:

- 0.9873 = COP
- 0.9844 = .382 ret
- 0.9813 = OP
- 0.9794 = .50 ret
- 0.9744 = .618 ret
- 0.9716 = XOP

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving up, so it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (5-10 pips below the current prices) or into the oversold area (25-35 pips below the current prices). Watch for opportunities to go long at or near the indicated supports.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

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GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for June 13, 2012

2012-06-13 10:40:13 (читать в оригинале)

GBP/JPY is developing impulse wave C of medium term downtrend from 129.32 (light green in the chart). Within this wave we have two subwaves (royal blue in the chart), and potential corrective subwave B is moving from 118.74. Within this wave we also have three subwaves (magenta in the chart), and potential impulse subwave C is developing from 121.85. Within the latter there are three subwaves (red in the chart) with impulse subwave C developing from 122.49.

The supports below are Fibonacci retracements of 118.74-124.28.

Supports:

- 122.16 = .382 retracement
- 121.51 = .50 retracement
- 120.86 = .618 ret

However if the price reverses to the upside the immediate resistances will be Fibonacci retracements of 129.33-118.74, and expansions off 118.74-124.28-121.85, 121.85-124.00-122.49.

- 124.64 = objective point (OP)
- 125.27-28 = confluence area of contracted objective point (COP) and .618 ret
- 125.97 = expanded objective point (XOP)

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving up, so it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (5-10 pips below the current prices) or into the oversold area (40-55 pips below the current prices). Watch for opportunities to go long at or near the indicated supports.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD: Technical Analysis for June 13, 2012

2012-06-13 09:43:51 (читать в оригинале)

• Strong Resistance : 0.7908.
• Strong Support: 0.7651.

Trading Recommendations:

According to previous events the price is expected to remain between the 0.76 and 0.7930 levels.

• Buy-deals are recommended above 0.7650 with the first target seen at 0.7725. The movement is likely to resume to the point 0.783 and further to the point 0.79.
  
• The decending movement is likely to begin from the level 0.79 with 0.7775 and 0.77 seen as targets.
  

Overview:

The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point 0.7651 (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels on the H1/H4 chart). Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.76. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY-deals above the point 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels on the H4 chart with the first targets 0.783 and 0.7908 (it will act as a strong resistance level and considered as appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide with 161.8% of Fibonacci (0.7908). However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails through the resistance level 0.7908 the market will further decline to the 0.77 level, indicating a bearish mood.

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If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com .

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