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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Linear Regression Channels for June 15, 2012

2012-06-15 17:48:10 (читать в оригинале)

The 4H chart reveals significant resistance level located around 1.5635 corresponding to the lower limit of a previous congestion zone which hasn't been tested yet.

The GBP/USD demonstrated bearish reaction manifested in the bearish engulfing 4H candlesticks which predicted a possible breakdown of the Violet channel that took place yesterday in order to resume the downtrend initiated long time ago. However, It's important to note that the pair is still finding support of the upper limit of the Blue channel around 1.5450 manifested in the bullish hammer 4H candlestick.

Termination of the current bullish move initiated last week becomes confirmed on breakdown of Support Level 1.5450.

 

The 1H chart depicts a strong bullish reaction towards Price Level 1.5470 which corresponds to the lower limit of the Yellow channel. However, the pair expressed significant bearish reaction this week at testing of price level 1.5600.
Failure of the GBP/USD pair to bypass the mid-line of the Yellow channel at 1.5555 opens the way towards the lower limit of the same channel around price zone 1.5470 again.
The lower limit of the Yellow channel at 1.5470 constitutes a Strong Support Zone to be watched for any significant price action.
The GBP/USD has a strong Intraday Resistance Level at 1.5555 corresponding to the mid-line of the Yellow channel which constitutes a valid Intraday SELL entry with SL located above 1.5600.
TP levels are to be located at 1.5510, 1.5470 and 1.5410.

 

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The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for June 15 , 2012

2012-06-15 15:42:41 (читать в оригинале)

 


Overview

 

Today silver takes a downward move after it has bounced from the Resistance level 28.75 yesterday.
Now silver is trading between the Resistance level 28.75 and the Support level 28.40 and presently is testing the Resistance level.
If silver is able to break the Resistance area 28.75 - 29.00, this will be a good opportunity for bullish movement enabling the Resistance level 28.70. Then we should wait for breaking this level to continue the bullish move giving new bullish signals.
On the other hand, if Silver can't break the Resistance area 28.75 - 29.00 and bounces from it, this will provide us a good opportunity to buy enabling the Support level 28.40. Then if silver manages to break this Support level and to close 4H below, this will indicate a bearish strength providing new sell-signals enabling the Support level 27.95.
Proceeding from the today's H4 chart – technical indicators provide bullish signals, but as long as the Resistance level 28.75 is unbroken, the downward move is still expected invalidating the bullish outlook. Therefore we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

 


Resistance and Support levels:

R3(29.70)

R2(29.00)

R1(28.75)

S1(28.40)

S2(27.95)

S3(27.35)


Trading Recommendations 

According to previous analysis, we recommend buying in case of breaking the Resistance area 28.75-29.00 with TP 29.60; SL breaking 4 hours below the Resistnace area might be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

USD/CAD Elliott Wave Count for June 15, 2012

2012-06-15 15:37:56 (читать в оригинале)


USD/CAD Elliott Wave
The USD/CAD pair was trading in a downward movement yesterday developing corrective wave Y (coloured pink) of the bigger wave 2 (coloured blue). During the European session we could observe a descending movement toward the 1.0260 level. Therefore during the New York session we could observe continuation of the bearish mood and price reaching a new 3 days low at the 1.0225 level. Today during the Asian session the price started pushing higher and reached 1.0245. At the moment we can observe the end of the 2 wave (coloured blue) so we wait to see price higher today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets Fibonacci extensions (1.0200-1.0325-1.0215) with Take Profit 1 at 1.0390 (127.2% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.0435 (161.8% of wave 1). Invalidation point at 1.0200 can be used as a Stop Loss point. Also it is necessary to monitor the CAD Manufacturing Sales m/m and U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index, TIC Long-Term Purchases, Capacity Utilization Rate, Industrial Production m/m, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment data that can change the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 1.0202 (S2) 1.0238 (S1) 1.0260 (PP) 1.0295 (R1) 1.0331 (R2) 1.0353 (R3) 1.0388

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why Long positions at level 1.0250 with Stop Loss at 1.0200 Take Profit 1 at 1.0390 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0435 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count for June 15, 2012

2012-06-15 15:35:27 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Yesterday during the early European session the AUD/USD pair started descending movement towards the 0.9921 level. Therefore during the New York this major pair did not manage to hold this level and we could observe the upward move and price reached the 1.0032 level (new 30 days high). Today during the early Asian session the AUD/USD pair started falling to the 0.9995 level where this major found support and continue trading in a bullish mood. At the moment we can observe the developing of the impulsive 3 wave (coloured pink) and we expect to see price higher today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets Fibonacci extensions (0.9820-1.0008-0.9850) with Take Profit 1 at 1.0108 (138.2% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.0153 (161.8% of wave 1). Support level at 1.0000 can be used as a Stop Loss point. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. Empire State Manufacturing Index, TIC Long-Term Purchases, Capacity Utilization Rate, Industrial Production m/m, Prelim UoM Consumer Sentiment data that can change the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 0.9770 (S2) 0.9816 (S1) 0.9844 (PP) 0.9890 (R1) 0.9936 (R2) 0.9964 (R3) 1.0010

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why Long positions at level 1.0050 with Stop Loss at 1.0000 Take Profit 1 at 1.0108 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0153 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

GBP/JPY Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for June 15, 2012

2012-06-15 13:22:19 (читать в оригинале)

 

 


Overview

 

We expected yesterday that the breakout of the upward trend line can give the pair the opportunity to take downward trend. Proceeding from the today's H4 chart the pair has already broken the upward trend line and stabilized below the Support level 123.00.
Presently the pair is testing the Support level 122.60. If the pair is able to break the Support level and close 4H below, this will be a strong indicator for a bearish signal, enabling the Support level 121.80. Therefore, we should wait for breaking this level to continue the bearish move. In case of breaking through the Support level this will indicate the bearish strength providing new sell-signals.
On the other hand, if the pair doesn't break the Support level and closes above 4H, it may reverse its bullish movement and start taking a bullish move enabling the Resistance level 123.00.
If the pair manages to break the Resistance level and closes above 4H, this will give us a good opportunity to buy with the 123.62 level target and with the stop loss 4 hours closing below the 122.60 level which might be appropriate.
Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell-signals, but as long as the Support level 122.60 is unbroken, the bullish view is still expected and invalidating the bearish trend.

 


Resistance and Support levels:

R3(124.45)

R2(123.72)

R1(123.00)

S1(122.60)

S2(121.80)

S3(120.90)


Trading Recommendations

According the previous analysis, we recommend selling after breaking the Support level 122.60 with TP1 122.00; SL breaking 4 hours above the Support level may be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com


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