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AUD/USD Elliott Wave Count for June 19, 2012

2012-06-19 16:08:43 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Yesterday during the Asian and European session the AUD/USD pair was trading in a downward move developing corrective wave (4) of the bigger 3 wave (coloured pink). During the European session we could observe a descending movement toward the 1.0057 level. We can consider this move as end of the (4) wave. Therefore during the New York session the AUD/USD pair started pushing higher and price reached a new high at 1.0141. Today during the Asian session the price continued trading in a bullish mood and price reached the 1.0155 level. At the moment we can observe the end of the 3 wave (coloured pink) and we are expecting to see the price lower today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 4 retraces 38.2% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci retracements (0.9849-1.0145) with Take Profit 1 at 1.0077 (23.6% of wave 3) and Take Profit 2 at 1.0033 (38.2% of wave 3). Resistance at 1.0170 can be used as a Stop Loss point. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. Building Permits, Housing Starts and G20 Meetings data that can change the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 1.0021 (S2) 1.0054 (S1) 1.0074 (PP) 1.0106 (R1) 1.0139 (R2) 1.0159 (R3) 1.0191

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why Short positions at level 1.0110 with Stop Loss at 1.0170 Take Profit 1 at 1.0077 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0033 are recommended.

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USD/CAD Elliott Wave Count for June 19, 2012

2012-06-19 16:07:17 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CAD Elliott Wave
The USD/CAD pair was trading in the upward move yesterday developing impulsive wave 1 (coloured blue). During the Monday's European session we could observe the ascending move toward the 1.0265 level. We can consider this move as end of the 3 wave of the bigger wave 1 (coloured blue). Therefore during the New York session the USD/CAD pair continued trading in a bullish mood and price reached a new 2 days high at 1.0278 level (end of the 5 wave of the bigger 1 wave). During the second half of the NY session this major pair started pushing lower and price reached the 1.0240 level. Today during the early Asian session price pushed lower and the USD/CAD pair reached the 1.0218 level. At the moment we can observe the end of the 2 wave (coloured blue) and we are expecting to see price higher today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0191-1.0277-1.0218) with Take Profit 1 at 1.0304 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.0357 (161.8% of wave 1). Invalidation point at 1.0161 can be used as a Stop Loss point. Also it is necessary to monitor the CAD Wholesale Sales m/m and U.S. Building Permits, Housing Starts, G20 Meetings data that can change the rate of the pair.

Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 1.0151 (S2) 1.0184 (S1) 1.0204 (PP) 1.0237 (R1) 1.0270 (R2) 1.0290 (R3) 1.0323

Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why Long positions at level 1.0245 with Stop Loss at 1.0191 Take Profit 1 at 1.0304 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0357 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/JPY Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for June 19, 2012

2012-06-19 11:42:49 (читать в оригинале)

GBP/JPY is developing potential impulse wave A of medium term uptrend from 118.74 (light green in the chart). Within this wave we have three subwaves (royal blue in the chart), and impulse subwave C is moving from 121.85. Within this wave we also have three subwaves (magenta in the chart), and impulse subwave C is developing from 122.07. The latter is being corrected, subwave B (red in the chart) is developing from 124.58.

Now the resistances are Fibonacci retracements of 131.75-118.74, and expansions off 118.74-124.28-121.85, 121.85-124.21-122.07, 122.07-124.58-123.29.

Resistances:

- 124.84 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 125.25-27 = confluence area of .50 retracement and COP
- 125.80 = objective point (OP)
- 125.89 = expanded objective point (XOP)

The supports below are Fibonacci retracements of 122.07-124.58, and expansions off 124.58-123.29-123.97.

Supports:

- 123.32 = .50 ret
- 123.17 = COP
- 123.03 = .618 ret
- 122.68 = OP
- 121.88 = XOP

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving up, so it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (current prices) or into the oversold area (15-30 pips below the current prices). Watch for opportunities to go long at or near the indicated supports.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Elliott wave count and Fibonacci levels for June 19, 2012

2012-06-19 11:42:33 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD is developing corrective wave B (light green in the chart) of medium term downtrend from 0.9581. Within this wave we have three subwaves (royal blue in the chart), and impulse subwave C is developing from 0.9820. Within the latter impulse subwave C (magenta in the chart) is developing from 0.9850. This wave also has its subwaves (red in the chart), and impulse subwave 5 is developing from 0.9921.

Now the immediate resistances are Fibonacci retracements of 1.0473-0.9581, and expansions off 0.9581-1.0002-0.9820, 0.9820-1.0007-0.9850, 0.9850-1.0003-0.9921, 0.9921-1.0134-1.0056.

Resistances:

- 1.0132 = .618 retracement
- 1.0169 = expanded objective point (XOP)
- 1.0188 = contracted objective point (COP)
- 1.0241 = objective point (OP)

The immediate supports now are Fibonacci retracements of 0.9850-1.0141.

Supports:

- 1.0030 = .382 retracement
- 0.9995 = .50 ret
- 0.9961 = .618 ret

Overbought/Oversold

The bigger wave is now moving up, so it's preferable to try long positions when the Detrended Oscillator goes below the zero level (5-10 pips below the current prices) or into the oversold area (25-35 pips below the current prices). Watch for opportunities to go long at or near the indicated supports.

Read more on how to trade with Fibonacci levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/CHF: Buy above 1.2 for June 19, 2012

2012-06-19 10:37:17 (читать в оригинале)

Forecast:

• At 1.2 a strong level (Support) will be formed providing a clear signal for Buy-deals with the target seen at the 1.254 level. Stop Loss is to be placed below 1.1850.

 

Overview:

EUR/CHF: The market continues to show signs of strength following the break above 1.2000. Therefore it will turn to a strong support. In such case, a stronger rise should be seen towards 1.2524 resistance for confirmation. Moreover, the trend is still above 50% Fibonacci retracement level, thus it will be a good sign to buy above 1.2 and sell below 1.1850.

 

Types of Analysis:

• Fundamental analysis: The Swissie is also quoted amid the promise to “buy unlimited Euros in order to support this market.
• Technical analysis: On a daily chart the level of 1.2 coincides with the golden ratio (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels) then it indicates for a bullish market.
• Sentiment analysis: Psychology level is at 1.2000, than one should be patient to keep the trade to end.
• Money management: Always invest 3% - 7% of the capital (composite) per all trades, always risk (Stop Loss) 1% - 5% of the capital per all trades, and always trade high risk ratio trade at least ½.
   

 

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If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com .

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com