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AUD/USD Buy above Fractal 1.0020 for June 28, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-06-28 19:42:57 (читать в оригинале)

 

The Australian dollar had a bullish session yesterday as traders took the advantage of the rebound in parity, and now the adjustment to the uptrend line can be observed. Therefore, we can buy over the fractal formed in 1.0025, on the other side a break of the trend line is so sharp, that it could indicate the start of the bearish movement and we can sell up to 0.9875 (Fractal).
The Australian dollar, one of the most favored risky assets for traders, was bought yesterday just before the European summit. Though the market reaction to the prospect of reaching a solution on the summit has been somewhat muted. Undoubtedly, the markets will be disappointed and will find themselves encased again in this case.
The MACD indicator as well as range are showing bearish signal.
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USD/CAD Above 1.0300 Today - Analysis for June 28, 2012

2012-06-28 18:47:39 (читать в оригинале)

 

USD/CAD Elliott Wave
Yesterday the USD/CAD pair was trading in an upward move developing corrective wave Y (coloured blue) of the bigger wave (2) (coloured green). During the Asian and European sessions we could observe an ascending movement toward the 1.0260 level. Therefore during the New York session the USD/CAD pair continued trading in a bullish mood, and we could observe price reaching a new daily high at 1.0267 level. During the second half of the NY session and today's Asian session this major pair did not manage to hold this level price and retraced to the 1.0231 level. We can consider this move as end of the 2 wave (coloured green), and we are expecting to see price above 1.0300 today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0160-1.0317-1.0231) with Take Profit 1 at 1.0383 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.0477 (161.8% of wave 1). Support at 1.0225 can be used as a Stop Loss point. Also it is necessary to monitor the U.S. Unemployment Claims, Final GDP q/q, FOMC Member Pianalto Speaks, data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 1.0215 (S2) 1.0229 (S1) 1.0237 (PP) 1.0250 (R1) 1.0264 (R2) 1.0272 (R3) 1.0285
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why Long positions at level 1.0280 with Stop Loss at 1.0225 Take Profit 1 at 1.0383 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0477 are recommended.

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EUR/USD Pushing Lower - Analysis for June 28, 2012

2012-06-28 18:42:19 (читать в оригинале)

 

EUR/USD Elliott Wave
For the last few days the EUR/USD pair was trading in a downward move developing impulsive (5) wave (coloured green) of the bigger wave (iii) (coloured green). Yesterday during the European and New York sessions we could observe descending movement toward the 1.2444 level. We can consider this move as end of the B wave of the bigger 4 wave (coloured blue). Today during the Asian session this major started pushing higher and price reached 1.2522 level (end of the 4 wave). At the moment we can observe the development of the 5 wave (coloured blue). In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 1 retraces 100% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with measuring 1 wave (coloured blue) with Take Profit 1 at 1.2334 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.2216 (161.8% of wave 1). Resistance at 1.2450 can be used as a Stop Loss point. Also it is necessary to monitor the EU Economic Summit, Italian 10-y Bond Auction and the U.S. Unemployment Claims, Final GDP q/q, FOMC Member Pianalto Speaks data that can change the rate of the pair.
Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 1.2410 (S2) 1.2434 (S1) 1.2449 (PP) 1.2473 (R1) 1.2497 (R2) 1.2512 (R3) 1.2536
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why Short positions at level 1.2400 with Stop Loss at 1.2450 Take Profit 1 at 1.2334 and Take Profit 2 at 1.2216 are recommended.

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GBP/JPY Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for June 28, 2012

2012-06-28 18:33:33 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Overview
Proceeding from the today's H4 chart, the pair takes a downward move and manages to break the Support level 123.75 making it possible to reach the Support level 123.00, but it can't break this level and bounces from it. If the pair continues its bearish movement and breaks the Support level 123.00, this will denote a strong indicator for the bearish move enabling the Support level 122.25. In this case we should wait for breaking this level and closing 4H below to continue the bearish view.
On the other hand, if the pair reverses its bearish move after rebounding from the Support level 123.00 and takes a bullish move, we should wait for closing above the Resistance level 123.75 to start the bullish signals with 124.35 level target and enabling the Resistnace level 124.40. The breakout of this Resistance level and closing 4H above will give a way to the Resistance level 125.25 which may be a good opportunity to buy with 125.00 level target.
Based on the given H4 chart the technical indicators provide bearish-signals, but as long as the Support level 123.00 is unbroken the upward move is still expected and invalidating the bearish outlook. Therefore we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

 

Resistance and Support levels
R3(125.25)
R2(124.40)
R1(123.75)
S1(123.00)
S2(122.25)
S3(121.55)

Trading Recommendations
According to previous analysis, we recommend selling after closing 4H below the Support level 123.00 with TP 122.40; SL closing 4 hours above the Support level may be appropriate.

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Linear Regression Channels for June 28, 2012

2012-06-28 18:00:44 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

GBP/USD Yellow Linear Regression Channel is wide-ranged with slightly bullish direction while the Blue one is almost transverse due to the sideways movement of the pair this week.
Yesterday GBP/USD expressed significant bullish reaction towards the lower limit of the Yellow and Blue channels around 1.5545 which pushed the pair to the upside towards the mid-line of the Yellow channel.
The mid-line of the Yellow channel resisted further bullish movement and pushed the pair to the downside again towards 1.5540 which corresponds to the backside of the broken bearish Violet channel.
Price Zone 1.5540-1.5525 still constitutes a strong Intraday Support Zone as it corresponds to the lower limit of the Yellow channel and the backside of the broken Violet one where price action should be watched for a low-risk BUY entry with SL located below 1.5495.
Failure of GBP/USD to breakdown price level 1.5540 confirms the bullish targets for GBP/USD which are located at 1.5630 then 1.5675 on the Intraday scale.
Breakdown of price level 1.5500 opens the way for the GBP/USD pair to reach 1.5470 and 1.5405.

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