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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for July 4 - 2012

2012-07-04 13:54:04 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
Support Resistance
1: 1.5600 1: 1.5694
2: 1.5581 2: 1.5723 (low of pink wave i - Should not be broken due the overlap rule)
3: 1.5533 3: 1.5823

Technical Overview:
We are in the very final part of the decline from 1.6969 and even more important, from 1.9511. The ideal target for this final decline is near 1.5533, from where a new rally is expected.
It is obvious from the chart above that wave v of the decline from 1.6969 extended and therefore, we should expect a powerful rally once the final low is in place. Why is a bottom near 1.5533 expected? Normally we should expect some kind of relationship between wave i through wave iii and wave v. At 1.5533 wave v will be 1.618 times longer than the decline from the top of wave i at 1.6969 to the bottom of wave iii at 1.6347.
Looking at the extended wave v, we can see that the red wave v will be 0.382 times longer than the decline from the top of red wave i at 1.6541 to the bottom of red wave iii at 1.5662 at 1.5547. Finally, looking at red wave v, we can see this wave evolving into a five wave decline (pink waves). The relationship between pink wave v and wave i - iii calls for pink wave v to end near 1.5522. We can see a cluster of supports in the area from 1.5522 - 1.5547, which ideally should mark the final low for the long term decline.

Trading Recommendations:
So, how do we trade this cross? We are trying to catch a few pips selling EUR against NZD. Therefore, buy EUR at 1.5555 with a 1.5490 stop or buy a above the break of 1.5723 (buy at 1.5730) with a stop just a tick below the lowest traded price.

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NZD/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for July 4, 2012

2012-07-04 13:38:01 (читать в оригинале)

 

• Strong Resistance : 0.8091.
• Strong Support: 0.7965.

 

Trading Recommendations:
According to previous events, the price is expected to remain between the 0.7755 and 0.8050 levels.
• Buy-deals are recommended above 0.7965 with the first target seen at 0.7813. The movement is likely to resume to the point 0.7920 and further to the point 0.8085.
• The descending movement is likely to begin from the level 0.809 (- Spread) with 0.8015 and 0.7970 seen as targets.

• 
  

 

Overview:
The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point 0.7973 (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels on the H1 chart). Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.7973. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY-deals above the point 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels on the H1 chart with the first targets 0.7813 and 0.809 (it will act as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide between 100% of Fibonacci (0.8048) and 161.8.
However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level 0.8091, the market will show a further decline to the 0.797 level indicating a bearish mood.

 

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If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com .

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for July 4 - 2012

2012-07-04 13:33:48 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:
Support    Resistance
1: 98.52    1: 100.89
2: 98.30    2: 101.14
3: 97.84    3: 101.54

Technical Overview:
The sideways price-action continues, which means energy is building for a powerful move once this consolidation is over.
The preferred count is still the same. Wave 4 most likely will end at 101.62 and wave 5, which has its ideal target at 94.58, should be developing. As can be seen from the chart above, we should be in the early part of wave iii of 5 down. Normally the third wave is the most dynamic and powerful and we should expect a decline to at least 96.72 and more likely 95.62 before minor wave iv begins and sets the stage for the final decline towards the ideal target near 94.58.
In short term I am looking for a break below 99.61 as first good indication that minor wave iii is under way.
The risk to the above scenario is a break above 101.39 that will identify that wave 4 is not over yet a delay the final decline to below 95.57 (the bottom of wave 3)

Trading Recommendations:
Sell EUR against JPY upon a break below 99.61 with a Stop at 100.80 and Take Profit at 95.80

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/CHF: Technical Analysis (Long Term) for July 4 - 6, 2012

2012-07-04 13:23:19 (читать в оригинале)

Forecast (Long Term):

• At 1.2 a strong level (Support) will be formed providing a clear signal for Buy-deals with the target seen at the 1.254 level. Stop Loss is to be placed below 1.1850.

 

 

Overview:
Still hold on to our position - long buying above 1.2.
EUR/CHF: The market continues to show signs of strength following the break above 1.2000. Therefore, it will turn to a strong support. In such case, a stronger rise should be seen towards 1.2524 resistance for confirmation. Moreover, the trend is still above 50% Fibonacci retracement level, thus it will be a good sign to buy above 1.2 and sell below 1.1850.

Types of Analysis:
• Fundamental analysis: The Swissie is also quoted amid the promise to “buy unlimited Euros in order to support this market".
• Technical analysis: On a daily chart the level of 1.2 coincides with the golden ratio (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels) then it indicates for a bullish market.
• Sentiment analysis: Psychology level is at 1.2000, one should be patient to keep the trade to end.
• Money management: Always invest 3% - 7% of the capital (composite) per all trades, always risk (Stop Loss) 1% - 5% of the capital per all trades, and always trade high risk ratio trade at least ½.

 

 

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If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com .

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for July 4 , 2012

2012-07-04 13:19:25 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Overview

 

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, silver takes a slightly downward move after its rebound from the Resistance level 28.40 yesterday, and currently is testing the Support level 28.05. If silver continues its bearish move and manages to break the Support level, this will open the way towards the Support area 27.70-27.50, then we should close 4H below this Support area to give more bearish-signals. If silver is able to break this Support area and close 4H below, it will denote a strong indicator for more downward movement enabling the Support level 27.00 as a level target.
On the other hand, if silver fails to break this Support level 28.05 and reversed its bearish move, this may denote a strong indicator for the bullish move till reaching the Resistance area 28.40-28.60, then we should wait for breaking this Resistance area and closing 4H above to continue the bullish-signals and open the way towards the Resistance level 29.00 as a level target. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell-signals but as long as the Support level 28.05 is unbroken the upward move is still expected and invalidating the bullish outlook. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support Levels

R3(29.00)
R2(28.60)
R1(28.40)

S1(28.05)
S2(27.70)
S3(27.50)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling in case of closing 4H below the Support level 28.05 with TP 27.55; SL closing 4 hours above the Support level may be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com