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EUR/USD Bearish Outlook for July 04, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-07-04 18:17:05 (читать в оригинале)

 

The fact that the euro has not broken through the 1.2415 level, proves that some operators find this level quite attractive for gaining the profit. However, if we examine this situation more carefully, we can find another explanation.
The "solution" that Europe made last week is not full of details and can come into force at any time.
It seems that the solution was made because of the fear that markets are to act accordingly.
According to technical analysis, we noticed that the pair is experiencing a downward pressure, given that the volatility is low, it is likely to negotiate between 1.2590 and 1.2515 range, therefore, we recommend selling below 1.2593 Fractal 4 hours, a break below the moving average of 200 periods may cause a fall to 1.2515.
The MACD indicator is displaying a bearish signal.

 

 

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GBP/USD Around weekly Pivot Point - For July 04, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-07-04 18:04:12 (читать в оригинале)

 

The pound is trading in the narrow range of 1.5720 and 1.5630, due to speculation that the central banks (BoE, the ECB) are expected to take measures to stimulate the global recovery.
Situation with Spanish bonds will have a great affect on the market.
The pound is likely to oscillate between these levels. In case of breakdown of the weekly pivot below 1.5630, we can enter selling to 1.5553 support. Moreover, if there is a rebound in the weekly pivot, we can buy above 1.5640 with targets up to 1.5710.
The MACD indicator is in neutral zone.

 

 

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

If you like my Technical Analysis, please vote for me by clicking here!

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Thursday 05, the Expected Day! - Fundamental Analysis, for July 04, 2012

2012-07-04 17:57:59 (читать в оригинале)

 

The euro and the British pound both show signs of weakness again during the European session on Wednesday.
In the case of the single currency, the German services PMI fell back below 50 points, marking the difference between contraction and expansion of the sector. In addition, an upcoming announcement of the ECB about monetary policy may result in growing speculations as another cut in interest rates can be expected.
The pound falls more moderately after June services PMI, although, remaining above 50 points.
Meanwhile, oil seems to have found a brake on their upward climb performed on Monday after Europe’s decision not to buy crude oil from Iran. This movement had given strength to the Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso, although both of them are going slightly down in these hours.
Meanwhile, an ounce of gold broke a downtrend line passing through $ 1615 and has resumed an upward trend which, if confirmed, will provide a very strong movement in that direction. You should keep this in mind especially if operating with the Australian dollar.
As we celebrate the U.S. Independence Day, the American session will have a very limited turnover, with prices almost still.
Thursday will be the most important day of the week, starting with the BoE's announcement about monetary policy as well as the ECB, and the ADP private employment survey in June.

 

 

 

 

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for July 4, 2012

2012-07-04 17:49:01 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

On Friday the USD/CAD pair expressed massive bearish reaction towards the upper limit of the Yellow channel around 1.0355 making a quick bearish movement of about 200 pips then reaching the lower limit of the Blue channel around 1.0160 and exceeding the Average Daily Range by about 75 pips.
USD/CAD is still moving downwards but within narrow ranged zone and without obvious swings which indicates a possible change in current direction.
Yesterday USD/CAD failed to break through the mid-line of the Yellow channel at 1.0120. Instead, the pair expressed a bullish reaction managing to break through the upper limit of the Violet channel.
The USD/CAD pair has an intraday resistance level at 1.0150 which needs to be broken in order to resume the bullish trend towards 1.0200 then 1.0250.
Breakdown of 1.0100 invalidates the bullish scenario for today.

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for July 4, 2012

2012-07-04 17:11:47 (читать в оригинале)

 

On Friday the GBP/USD pair expressed massive bullish reaction towards the lower limit of the Yellow channel around 1.5490 making a quick bullish movement of about 230 pips then reaching the upper limit of the Blue channel around 1.5705 and exceeding the Average Daily Range by about 85 pips.
Because of this strong bullish movement a fresh bullish trend is thought to be started. However, today at earlier hours GBP/USD managed to break through the lower limit of this Violet & Blue channel showing a possible Head & Shoulders reversal pattern which indicates a coming bearish retracement before further continuation of the uptrend.
After breakdown of the lower limit of the Violet & Blue channels, price level 1.5666 is considered as a valuable Intraday Resistance Level where a good low-risk sell entry can be taken with SL above 1.5720.
The lower limit of the Yellow channel around price level 1.5645 should be broken in order to make a bearish retracement targeting 1.5580. However, if GBP/USD fails to break the lower support level, it will push the pair quickly to the upside towards 1.5745 and then 1.5777.
The GBP/USD pair needs to break through the Resistance level 1.5720 (the previous recorded high) in order to resume its bullish direction towards 1.5745 and then 1.5777.

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