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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Linear Regression Channels for July 5, 2012

2012-07-05 17:31:53 (читать в оригинале)

 

The Linear Regression Channels for GBP/USD are wide-ranged due to the strong bearish tendency of the pair during this week.
Although, at earlier time today GBP/USD could break through the upper limit of the Violet channel, the pair failed to break through the Intraday Resistance which corresponds to the mid-line of the Yellow channel located around price level 1.5620.
The GBP/USD pair then expressed massive bearish reaction towards this resistance level breaking down the lower limit of the Yellow channel with strong bearish engulfing 1H candlestick.
Now Price Level 1.5570 which corresponds to the backside of the broken lower limit of the Yellow channel and previous broken support level is considered to act as a strong Intraday Resistance on retesting which provides a valid SELL entry with SL located above 1.5625.
TP levels for short entries should be located at 1.5500, then 1.5440.

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AUD/USD Ready To Push Lower - Analysis for July 5, 2012

2012-07-05 14:21:40 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
The AUD/USD pair was trading in a sideways move yesterday developing corrective wave 2 (coloured blue). During the early Asian session we could observe an ascending movement towards the 1.0320 level. We can consider this move as the end of the wave 5 of the bigger wave 1 (coloured blue). Therefore, during the European and the New York sessions, the AUD/USD pair did not manage to hold this level and price reached a new daily low at the 1.0260 level. Today this currency pair is trading in a slightly downward move, and we are expecting to see price around 1.0200 level soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 2 retraces 61.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci Retracements (0.9968-1.0320) with Take Profit 1 at 1.0144 (50% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.0102(61.8% of wave 1). Resistance point at 1.0320 can be used as a Stop Loss point.
Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 1.0225 (S2) 1.0248 (S1) 1.0262 (PP) 1.0285 (R1) 1.0308 (R2) 1.0322 (R3) 1.0345
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0240 with Stop Loss at 1.0320 Take Profit 1 at 1.0144 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0102 are recommended.

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GBP/JPY Around 123.50 Today - Analysis for July 5, 2012

2012-07-05 14:14:29 (читать в оригинале)

GBP/JPY Elliott Wave
Yesterday the GBP/JPY pair was trading in a downward move developing impulsive wave 3 (coloured blue). During the early European session we could observe a descending movement towards the 124.65 level. Therefore, during the New York session we could observe continuation of the bearish mood with the price reaching new daily low at 124.18 level. Today this exotic pair is trading around 124.00 level and I am expecting to see the price around 123.50. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci Extensions (125.42-124.24-125.39) with Take Profit 1 at 123.54 (161.8% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 123.08(200% of wave 1). Resistance point at 124.20 can be used as a Stop Loss point.
Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 123.64 (S2) 124.04 (S1) 124.28 (PP) 124.68 (R1) 125.08 (R2) 125.32 (R3) 125.72
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 124.00 with Stop Loss at 124.20, Take Profit 1 at 123.54 and Take Profit 2 at 123.08 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for July 5, 2012

2012-07-05 12:39:56 (читать в оригинале)

 

• Strong Resistance : 0.8091.
• Strong Support: 0.7965.

 

Overview:
The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point 0.7973 (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels on the H1 chart). Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.7973. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY-deals above the point 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels on the H1 chart with the first targets 0.7813 and 0.809 (it will act as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide between 100% of Fibonacci (0.8048) and 161.8. However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level 0.8091, the market will show a further decline to the 0.797 level indicating a bearish mood.

 

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If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com .

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for July 5 , 2012

2012-07-05 12:37:34 (читать в оригинале)

 

Overview

 

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, silver is still trading between the Support level 28.05 and the Resistance level 28.40 after its failure to break the Support level 28.05 yesterday. Now silver is trying to break through this level. If it manages to break the Support level and close 4H below, this will give a way towards the Support area 27.70-27.50, and then we should close 4H below this Support area to give more bearish-signals. If silver is able to break this Support area and close 4H below, it will denote a strong indicator for more downward movement enabling the Support level 27.00 as a level target.

On the other hand, if silver fails to break this Support level 28.05 again and takes an upward movement, this may denote a strong indicator for the bullish move till reaching the Resistance area 28.40-28.60, then we should wait for breaking this Resistance area and closing 4H above to continue the bullish-signals and open the way towards the Resistance level 29.00 as a level target. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell-signals but as long as the Support level 28.05 is unbroken the upward move is still expected invalidating the bullish outlook. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support Levels

R3(29.00)
R2(28.60)
R1(28.40)

S1(28.05)
S2(27.70)
S3(27.50)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling in case of breaking the Support level 28.05 and closing 4H below with TP 27.55; SL closing 4 hours above the Support level may be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com