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AUD/USD Wave Analysis for July 9, 2012

2012-07-09 13:54:07 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Last Friday the AUD/USD pair was trading in a downward move developing corrective wave 2 (coloured blue) of the bigger (3) wave (coloured green). During the Asian and European sessions, we could observe descending movement towards the new daily low of 1.0240. Therefore, during the early New York session, the AUD/USD pair continued trading in a bearish mood and price reached a new daily low at 1.0178 level. Today we could observe the price trading around 1.0170 and we are expecting to see the price around 1.0110 level. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 2 retraces 61.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci Retracements (0.9968-1.0328) with Take Profit at 1.0106(61.8% of wave 1). Resistance point at 1.0242 can be used as a Stop Loss point.
Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 1.0114 (S2) 1.0157 (S1) 1.0184 (PP) 1.0227 (R1) 1.0270 (R2) 1.0297 (R3) 1.0340
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 1.0160 with Stop Loss at 1.0242 and Take Profit at 1.0106 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/JPY Wave Analysis for July 9, 2012

2012-07-09 13:51:42 (читать в оригинале)

GBP/JPY Elliott Wave
Last week the GBP/JPY pair was trading in a downward channel developing impulsive wave 3 (coloured blue) of the bigger (3) wave (coloured green). During the Friday's European session we could observe an ascending move from 123.73 towards the 124.21 level. Therefore, during the New York session, the GBP/JPY pair did not manage to hold this level and we could observe continuation of the bigger bearish mood. Today during the Asian, session this exotic currency reached a new 6 days low at 122.91 level and we can consider this move as the end of the wave 3 (coloured blue). At the moment, the GBP/JPY pair is developing a corrective wave 4 and we are expecting to see the bearish mood again within this pair soon. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (125.78-122.81-125.43) with Take Profit 1 at 122.52 (100% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 120.69 (161.8% of wave 1). Invalidation point at 124.29 can be used as a Stop Loss point.
Support and Resistance Levels
(S3) 122.34 (S2) 122.80 (S1) 123.08 (PP) 123.55 (R1) 124.01 (R2) 124.29 (R3) 124.76
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave Rules this week, the trend is expected to begin the downward movement. That is why short positions at level 123.00 with Stop Loss at 124.30 Take Profit 1 at 122.52 and Take Profit 2 at 120.69 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/JPY Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for July 9, 2012

2012-07-09 13:48:20 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

 

Overview

 

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, the pair has a slightly upward correction after its rebound from the Support level 123.00. Presently the pair is trading between the Support area 123.25-123.00 and the Resistance level 123.75. If the pair continues its bullish move and manages to close 4H above the Resistance level 123.75, this will be a strong indicator for the bullish-signals from closing 4 hours above the Resistance level and enabling the Resistance level of 124.40 as a level target, then we should wait for breaking the Resistance level and closing 4H above to continue bullish-signals.
On the other hand, if the pair is able to close 4H below the Support area 123.25-123.00, this will indicate a good opportunity for the bearish- signals and open the way towards the Support level 122.30, then we should wait for breaking this Support level and closing 4H below to continue the bearish move. If the pair manages to break the Support level, it will mean a bearish strength providing new sell-signals. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell signals but as long as the Support area is unbroken, the upward move is still expected and invalidating the bearish outlook. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

Resistance and Support Levels

R3(125.30)
R2(124.40)
R1(123.75)

S1(123.25)
S2(123.00)
S3(122.30)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling in case of closing 4H below the Support area 123.25-123.00 with TP 122.45; SL closing 4 hours above the Support area will be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for July 9 - 2012

2012-07-09 13:44:45 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

Support                         Resistance
1: 1.5379                      1: 1.5464
2: 1.5329                      2: 1.5505
3: 1.5245                      3: 1.5544

Technical Overview:
The extended pink fifth wave is making progress nicely. We are currently correcting the light green wave iii, this correction should ideally take us up to 1.5464, from where the light green wave v could well emerge to a decline towards 1.5329 and possibly even down to the 1.5228 - 1.5245 area, which could mark the final bottom for the decline from 1.6969.
As the black wave v extended and the pink wave v extended as well, we should be aware that the light green wave v could also extend and take us all the way down to 1.5110 before the bottom is finally in place. There is no way to predict if the light green wave v will extend too, so we just have to be aware of this possibility.

Trading Recommendations:
If you are not short EUR against NZD already at 1.5425, the sell EUR at 1.5450 with a 1.5540 stop and take profit at 1.5325

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for July 9 - 2012

2012-07-09 13:41:27 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

Support                         Resistance
1: 97.39                         1: 98.19
2: 97.02                         2: 98.69
3: 96.36                         3: 99.09

Technical Overview:
The break below the support level of 98.30 has added confidence in the view, that wave 5 down is well under way. The ideal target for this wave 5 is near 94.58.
Looking at the sub-waves we most likely ended the blue wave iii at 97.44 (just a few pips above the 97.38 - 97.41 target-area) and should see the blue wave iv lift us towards the 98.23 - 98.30 area with a slight possibility for a larger correction towards the 98.72 - 99.12 (the possibility for a slightly larger correction is not the preferred scenario) before the blue wave v take us down towards at least to 96.69 and likely to 95.62.
At no point should we see a break above 99.81 as that will leave us with an overlap between the blue wave i and the blue wave iv, which is not allowed under the Elliott Wave Principle.

Trading Recommendations:
You should be short from 99.55 and move stop to break-even. Keep the take-profit level at 95.85. If you are not short already, then wait for the correction back towards the 98.23 - 98.30 area before shorting EUR with the same stop-loss and take-profit levels.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com