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EUR/JPY Intraday Technical Analysis
2012-07-19 11:00:15 (читать в оригинале)
The spot rate is now testing the intermediate support of its medium term bearish channel at 96.40 suggesting a retracement. However, a break through this level will trigger a decline to the lower limit – 95.80.
Technical indicators do not provide clear signals but untill the support is not broken there can be a rebound. Bollinger bands have greatly tightened in recent days showing a decline in volatility and the imminence of a violent movement.
According to previous events the market will provide a bullish opportunity at the level of 96.40 with the 1st objective at 97.20 and then at 97.40. A break through 96.20 will alter this scenario.
The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.comEUR/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for July 19, 2012
2012-07-19 09:17:33 (читать в оригинале)Weekly Pivot Point: 1.2252.
Time Frame: H1


Trading Recommendations:
Intraday Forecast
According to the previous events, the price is still located between 1.2410 and 1.2140.
Buy-deals are recommended above 1.2180 with the targets seen at 1.2235 and 1.2330 levels.
Look for further downward movement below 1.2333 with the first target seen at 1.2303 and 1.2255 levels.
Overview:
The EUR/USD pair has broken the resistance level and turned towards the support level near the two year point of 1.2140 (June 6, 2010). Therefore, the pair has already formed a strong support at 1.2140. Moreover, having failed to close below 1.21, the pair started showing a bullish reaction at this level. It is necessary to mention that these levels coincide with strong levels for bulls on H1 chart; the pair has also formed a strong support at the level of 1.2140//1.2180. So, the pair will move upwards which is a convincing fact; the structure of the upside movement looks as non-corrective indicating a bullish opportunity above 1.2140. This can be a good sign for Buy-deals above 1.2140/1.2180 with the first target at 1.2235 initiating an uptrend in order to continue the bullish mood towards the point of 1.23 and further to 1.2333. If the trend breaks the weekly pivot point (1.2252), then the pair will go upwards in this level. However, it should also be noted that the price is still between 1.2408/1.2150 and 1.2140, as the Stochastic and the last strong resistance level are still able to begin a downtrend at this level. So the market indicates a bearish opportunity at the level 1.2333 on H1 chart with the first target 1.2252 (Weekly Pivot Point) and continues towards 1.22.
Observation (s):
- If the trend is ascending, then the strength of the currency will be defined as following: EUR is an uptrend and USD is a downtrend.
- Most of the traders use the Fibonacci retracement to determine accurately the psychological support and resistance levels.
If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com .
The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.comUSD/CHF: Intraday Technical Analysis for July 19, 2012
2012-07-19 09:17:13 (читать в оригинале)Forecast:
- At 0.9871 a strong level (Resistance) will be formed providing a clear signal for Sell-deals with the target seen at the 0.9765 level. Stop Loss is to be placed above 0.9913.
- At 0.9735 a strong level (Support) will be formed providing a clear signal for Buy-deals with the target seen at the 0.9870 level. Stop Loss is to be placed above 0.9675.


Overview:
USD/CHF:
It is necessary to consider that the price is still located between points 0.9871 and 0.9735, i.e. above the strong resistance level 0.9871. The pair has already formed a strong resistance at this level of 0.9871 and is presently approaching it for the further testing. Therefore, the Swissie is expected to go downwards following the non-corrective structure and indicating the bearish opportunity below the 0.9871 level. Sell-deals are recommended below 0.9871 with the first target seen at the 0.9803 level. Thus, the downtrend is likely to continue the bearish movement towards the 0.9765 level. Moreover, it is crucial that the price has probably formed a strong support at 0.9735. The saturation is likely to take place around 0.9735. Therefore it is possible that the market will start showing the signs of a bullish behaviour. In other words, Buy-deals are recommended above 0.9735 with the first target seen at the 0.9800 level and further at the 0.9865 level.
The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.comFundamental Analysis, for July 18, 2012
2012-07-18 18:48:13 (читать в оригинале)
Ben Bernanke’s presentation clarified the agency's concern about the slowdown in U.S. economic recovery which resulted in the fall of the major labor and consumption indicators.
Bernanke left open the door to a number of options that the Fed can choose from to reduce unemployment, which cannot fall below 8% for over 3 years. The next FOMC meeting, appointed by the Fed, which is going to set monetary policy will take place within two weeks. The official also said that the Fed is ready to take actions when necessary.
Markets glumly accepted Bernanke's remarks at first. But the after strong actions on Wall Street the market headed upward by the end of the session as well as the major currencies, weakening the dollar.
However, the declaration of the German Chancellor Angela Merkel erased any hint of relief within the markets a few hours ago. Merkel said that the "European project" is in danger right now if there are no sustainable agreements, especially if politicians do not work harder to bring down unemployment and growth.
The euro was immediately affected by these statements, and took bearish move on all fronts, which could be extended to the next few hours during the American session.
British pound also fell at these times amid the Minutes of the Bank of England, which was released at the beginning of the European session. Although the vote to keep interest rates unchanged was unanimous and the agency said that a cut would be appropriate soon, thus leaving the door open for interest rates fall from 0.5%.
The British currency lost in a short-term uptrend that was generated since last week, and is likely to weaken in the next days, looking for the area of ​​1.52 / 1.53 against the dollar.
Meanwhile, the Dow Jones index futures fell before the beginning of the American session. The Fed's Beige Book, which contains information on current economic conditions, will be released at 2:00 ET. The Book will contain interpretation of the next steps of the organization. The investors will react in accordance with this information.
If you like my Fundamental Analysis, please vote for me by clicking here!
If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com
The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.comAUD/USD Bearish Outlook for July 18, 2012 (Daily Strategy)
2012-07-18 18:11:29 (читать в оригинале)
The Australian dollar continues its upward trend recovering from yesterday’s losses. Now it is negotiating above the moving average of 200 periods, but it was unable to break the maximum done on 5 July at 1.0327.
In respect of the upward force, which is accompanying the pair, it is likely to continue rising to 1.04. If you have a buy positions please use the trailing stop.
Moreover, taking into account economic slowdown in China, the biggest Australian exporter, the bullish outlook has changed, so only a close below 1.0275 or below 200 period moving average (blue) recommend selling, with targets 1.0120 and 0.9877.
The trend indicator is overbought and showing the signs of an upward force depletion.

If you need a personal consultation, contact me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com
If you like my Technical Analysis, please vote for me by clicking here!
The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com
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