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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-07-27 11:23:09 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its medium term bearish channel at 1.2330 and seems to initiate a decline. However, a break through these levels will release good potential and initiate a violent bullish trend.
Technical indicators provide buy signals but are approaching overbuy zone supporting the assumption of a decline. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term.
According to the previous events, the market will provide a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate has broken through its resistance of 1.2330 with the 1st objective at 1.2390 and then at 1.2420. A break through 1.2310 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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USD/JPY Intraday Technical Levels for Jully 27, 2012

2012-07-27 11:20:16 (читать в оригинале)

 

Today’s Technical Levels:
Resistance 3: 78.51.
Resistance 2: 78.35.
Resistance 1: 78.20.
Support 1: 78.02.
Support 2: 77.86.
Support 3: 77.70.

Description:
Please, pay attention to the levels of support 3 (77.70) and resistance 3 (78.51), in general, when a level is touched, USD/JPY will rebound from the previous minimum by10 to 20 pips, but if the levels are broken through by over 50 pips, then it will be a sign of that these currencies have found trends today.

 

 

 

Best regards,
Arief Makmur
Official Analyst of InstaForex Companies Group
InstaForex Companies Group
http://instaforex.com
Email : Arief.ifx.jakarta@gmail.com

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Levels for Jully 27, 2012

2012-07-27 11:16:29 (читать в оригинале)

 

Today’s Technical Levels:
Breakout BUY Level: 1.2334.
Strong Resistance: 1.2327.
Original Resistance: 1.2316.
Inner Sell Area: 1.2304.
Target Inner Area: 1.2276.
Inner Buy Area: 1.2247.
Original Support: 1.2236.
Strong Support: 1.2224.
Breakout SELL Level: 1.2217.

Description:
Today EUR/USD has support and resistance at 1.2236 and 1.2316 and is accompanied by strong support at 1.2224 and by 1.2327 as strong resistance.
If EUR/USD breaks out and closes below a 1.2217 level today, this will indicate a considerable bearish strength, while if EUR/USD manages to break out and close above a 1.2334 level, this will denote high bullish strength. Alternatively, you can trade in a way to open a BUY position at the level of 1.2247, and SELL position at 1.2304; in this case both targets should be located at the level of 1.2276.

 

 

 

Best regards,
Arief Makmur
Official Analyst of InstaForex Companies Group
InstaForex Companies Group
http://instaforex.com
Email : Arief.ifx.jakarta@gmail.com

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis (Theory on Numerical Analysis) for July 27, 2012.

2012-07-27 11:13:36 (читать в оригинале)

Use time frame of M15 to determine the lower and the higher price of yesterday, because it's more precise.

 

Tip: Some traders use the Fibonacci in the wrong way.
The Fibonacci retracement is VALID only if the price movements on daily basis, it should be between lower and highest price of that day.

 

Thursday's historic (26^th of July 2012).

Open: 1,5499
High: 1,5724
Low: 1,5471
Close: 1,5688

 

Function = (High - (High - Low)) * 38%.
The market will indicate a Bullish opportunity on level of: (Low + (Function / 100)) = 1.5665 (+Spread).
Pivot Point (1) = (High + Low + Close) / 3 = 1.5628.
Pivot Point (2) = (High + Low + 2 * Close) / 4 = 1.5643.
If the price closes below 1.5643 or/and 1.5630, the market will indicate a bearish opportunity on the level of 1.5628 (-Spread).

 

 

 

Take Profit Formulas:

 

Sometimes it seems that the market doesn't follow our forecast, therefore in order to get out spank from the market before losing your profit.
Then you have to calculate the market movements.

Market Movements = (High / (High + Low)) * 100

 

• • If market movements is between 50.20 and 50.40, so it should close your position after 1H:30M (Around 40pips to 60pips).
• If market movements is between 50.40 and 50.60, so it should close your position after 3H:15M (Around 80 pips to 120 pips).
• If market movements is between 50.60 and 50.99, so it should close your position after 8H:00M (Around 140 pips to 200 pips).

•  

Apply Formulas:

Market Movements = (1.5724 / (1.5724 + 1.5471)) * 100

Market Movements = 50.40

 

Trading Recommendations:

 

According to the previous events, the price has still been trapped between 1.5430 and 1.5803.
• Buy above 1.5668 (78% of Fibonacci retracement levels) with a first target of 1.5748, it might resume to 1.5784.
• Below 1.5627 (61.8% of Fibonacci retracement levels), look for further downside with 1.5533 and 1.5475 targets.

 

 

Technical Levels:

R3: 1,6037
R2: 1,5881
R1: 1,5784
PP: 1,5628
S1: 1,5531
S2: 1,5375
S3: 1,5278

 

Chart Tools:
• It should be noted that the market was very stable and the trend was also very clear (upward).
• Range was: 253 pips (downward).
• The value of 50% Fibonacci retracement levels is: (High + Low) / 2 = 1.5598. (The key level to confirm a bullish market).
• Volatility is 394.62 so the market has called for a high volatile.

 

Observation (s):

•  

• Please check out the market volatility before investing, because the sight price may have already been reached and the scenarios invalidated.
• Use historic prices to determine the future prices.
• Fibonacci retracement uses to determine accurate psychology level of support and resistance, and playing according to in this kind of period.
• Fibonacci is in a range trader (it is looks like the trend is trapping and going up or down, if you sell or buy for a long term in this period you'll go sure for losing your profit.

 

Warning (s):

• Stop Loss should NEVER exceed your maximum exposure amounts.
• Usually the market has a high volatile, if the last day had a huge volatility.

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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NZD/USD: Intraday Technical Analysis for July 27, 2012

2012-07-27 11:00:45 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

 

• Strong Resistance: 0.8060. Take profit at this level (Bought already since July 24, 2012). 
• Strong Support: 0.7860.

 

Overview:
The NZD/USD pair is expected to continue the movement from the point of 0.7865 (0.7860: 00% of Fibonacci retracement levels on the H1 chart). Thus, kiwi shows the signs of strength, following the breakdown of the highest level 0.7960. This fact can be considered as a good signal for BUY deals above the point 00% of Fibonacci retracement level on the H1 chart or at the level (0.7860) with the first targets 0.7980 and 0.8060 (it will act as a strong resistance level and is considered to be appropriate for Take Profit orders). It is necessary to mention that this level will coincide between 61.8% of Fibonacci retracement (0.7980) and 78% of Fibonacci retracement (0.8011) However, in case of the reverse movement and if the NZD/USD pair fails to break through the resistance level 0.8060, the market will show a further decline to the 0.7975 level indicating a bearish mood in order to retest the weekly support 1 at 0.7923.

If you have any questions or requests, please feel free to contact me: mourad.elkeddani@analytics.instaforex.com.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com