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USD/CHF Wave Analysis for July 30, 2012

2012-07-30 13:17:42 (читать в оригинале)

USD/CHF Elliott Wave
Last week the USD/CHF pair finished developing of the impulsive wave (1) (coloured green) of the bigger (A) wave (coloured orange). During the Friday's European session the USD/CHF pair we could observe an ascending movement towards the 0.9810 level and we can consider this move as the end of the 4 wave of the bigger wave (1). Therefore, during the New York session this major did not manage to hold this level and the price reached a new low at 0.9695 (5 wave end). Today the USD/CHF pair was trading in an upward move and we are expecting to see continuation of this bullish mood. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 2 retraces 61.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci retracements (0.9970-09695) with Take Profit 1 at 0.9832 (50% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 0.9865(61.8% of wave 1). Support at 0.9740 can be used as Stop Loss.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 0.9636 (S2) 0.9680 (S1) 0.9706 (PP) 0.9750 (R1) 0.9794 (R2) 0.9820 (R3) 0.9864
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 0.9800 with Stop Loss 0.9740 Take Profit 1 at 0.9832 and Take Profit 2 at 0.9865 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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AUD/USD Wave Analysis for July 30, 2012

2012-07-30 13:14:21 (читать в оригинале)

AUD/USD Elliott Wave
Since our last analysis the AUD/USD pair was trading in an upward move, developing impulsive wave 3 (coloured blue) of the bigger wave (3) (coloured green). During the Friday's Asian and European sessions we could observe an ascending movement towards the 1.0445 level. Therefore, during the New York session the AUD/USD pair continued trading in a bullish mood and price reached a new 13 weeks high at 1.0485 level. At the moment price is trading in a sideways move and we are expecting to see the price higher today. In accordance with our wave rules and taking into account that the wave 3 retraces 161.8% of the wave 1, we can define the potential targets with Fibonacci extensions (1.0145-1.0443-1.0176) with Take Profit 1 at 1.0650 (138.2% of wave 1) and Take Profit 2 at 1.0731(161.8% of wave 1). Support at 1.0420 can be used as Stop Loss.
Support and Resistance
(S3) 1.0347 (S2) 1.0386 (S1) 1.0410 (PP) 1.0449 (R1) 1.0488 (R2) 1.0512 (R3) 1.0551
Trading Forecast
Proceeding from Elliott Wave rules today, the trend is expected to begin the upward movement. That is why long positions at level 1.0485 with Stop Loss 1.0420 Take Profit 1 at 1.0650 and Take Profit 2 at 1.0731 are recommended.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Silver Technical Levels and Trading Recommendatios for July 30 , 2012

2012-07-30 11:59:13 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

 

Overview

 

The H4 chart demonstrates today that silver takes a slightly downward move and manages to break the upward trend line till reaching the Support level 27.65 and presently silver is testing it. If silver continues its bearish view and manages to break this Support level, it will provide a good opportunity to sell below the Support level as well as will make it possible to reach the Support level 27.20 as a level target. After that we should wait for breaking out of this Support level to continue the bearish move. In case silver is able to break the Support level 27.20 and close 4H below, we will get a bearish strength which will provide new sell signals and enable the Support level 26.90 as a level target.
On the other hand, if silver reverses its bearish move and takes an upward move after its rebound from the Support level 27.65, this will be a strong indicator for the bullish move after closing 4H above the Support level 27.65 enabling the Resistance level 27.90. In this case we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to continue the bullish view. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell signals, but as long as the Support level 27.65 is unbroken, the upward move is still expected and invalidating the downward movement. Therefore, we should wait for more confirmations before making the decision.

 

Resistance and Support levels

R3(29.00)
R2(28.45)
R1(27.90)

S1(27.65)
S2(27.20)
S3(26.90)

 

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling in case of closing 4H below the Support level 27.65 with TP1 27.30 and TP2 27.00; SL closing 4H above the Support level might be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/NZD - Elliott Wave Analysis for July 30 - 2012

2012-07-30 11:56:48 (читать в оригинале)

EUR/NZD Weekly

 

EUR/NZD 4 Hourly

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 1.5167                    R1: 1.5226

S2: 1.5131 (low)          R2: 1.5250

S3: 1.5100                    R3: 1.5287

 

 

Technical Overview:
In long-term we expect that an important bottom is in place at 1.5131, but we need more proof, which we will get if the break above resistance at 1.5443 occurs. As we are in the very early parts of a possible new major rally, we must expect the market to test all of our patience, but we will have to trade referring to the chart.
Here we have seen a break below support at 1.5220 and a new test of the 1.5131 low. Under the Elliott Wave Principle a 100% retracement of wave one is allowed, but we cannot see just one pip below as that would force a change in the count and delay the coming new uptrend.
As long as important support at 1.5131 protects the downside, we should still be expecting a new rally above minor resistance at 1.5333 to add confidence in our count, but a break above 1.5443 is required to confirm the bottom at 1.5131 for a continuation higher towards 1.5665 and possibly even 1.5830.
A break below 1.5131 will force a change to the above counts and call for a move towards 1.5096 as the next possible bottom target.

Trading Recommendation:
You should be long EUR against NZD from 1.5250; 1.5265 or 1.5295 with a 1.5125 stop. The very deep decline in red wave ii has delivered a new possible buying opportunity here at 1.5180 with a low risk stop at 1.5125. Or you could choose to set the stop at 1% risk from the entry at 1.5030, which will keep you in the position if a break below 1.5131 calls for a move towards 1.5096 before a new possible bottom could be seen.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis

2012-07-30 11:51:11 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The spot rate is currently testing the upper limit of its medium term trading range at 1.5770 and seems to initiate a decline. However, a break through these levels will release a good potential and initiate a violent bullish trend.
Technical indicators do not provide clears signals but approach an overbuy zone supporting the assumption of a decline. Bollinger bands are much discarded as a result of a strong increase these days. Stabilization is expected in a short term.
According to previous events, the market will provide a bullish opportunity as soon as the spot rate has broken through its resistance of 1.5770 with the 1st objective at 1.5830 and then at 1.5850. A breakthrough 1.5750 will invalidate this scenario.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com