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AUD/USD Weekly Analysis for July 30 - 03 August, 2012 (Weekly Strategy)

2012-07-30 18:32:05 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The Pivot Point (PPV) is used as support and resistance at the same time; it is the first level that we observe. For this week the pivot points (weekly and monthly) for AUD/USD are: 1.0382 weekly; 1.0026 monthly.
The Australian dollar is located above the pivot weekly and above the Moving Average of 200 periods (blue).
Therefore, the pivot points show the following:
The weekly support level 1.0277 has a very strong support, because of several occasions that provided support and resistance. Last week the pair found a strong rebound at that level that has went on until 1.0481 which the pair is currently testing. Given that it is overbought, it is likely a pull back to the weekly pivot point or until S_1 weekly.
Therefore, we recommend buying 1.0277, a level that coincides with the moving average of 200 periods with targets at 1.0576.

 

 

_____WEEKLY_____
Weekly - R3 = 1.0897
Weekly - R2 = 1.0692
Weekly - R1 = 1.0587
Weekly Pivot = 1.0382
Weekly - S1 = 1.0277
Weekly - S2 = 1.0072
Weekly - S3 = 0.9967

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USD/JPY Weekly Analysis for July 30 - 03 August, 2012 (Weekly Strategy)

2012-07-30 18:26:48 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

The Pivot Point (PPV) is used as support and resistance at the same time; it is the first level that we observe. For this week the pivot points (weekly and monthly) for USD/JPY are: 78.35 weekly; 79.35 monthly.
The Japanese yen is located below the weekly pivot and bellow the Moving Average of 200 periods (blue). Therefore, taking into account the pivots points, we can conclude the following:
The level of 77.62 (W_S2) is a very strong support that is an area where the pair has had problems several times recently, since mid-July 2011 to February 2012 and again in the beginning of June this year, when touched a minimum of 77.65 before reversing and up to 80.50. It is, therefore, possible that in the nearest support area of 78.03(W_S1), the pair can have a rebound to 79.08(W_R2) minimum. Moreover, the breakdown of weekly support could continue until important support 77.62.

 

____WEEKLY_____
Weekly - R3 = 79.49
Weekly - R2 = 79.08
Weekly - R1 = 78.76
Weekly Pivot = 78.35
Weekly - S1 = 78.03
Weekly - S2 = 77.62
Weekly - S3 = 77.30 

If you would like to get this indicator, feel free to adress me via e-mail: gerardo.porras@analytics.instaforex.com

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The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for July 30, 2012

2012-07-30 17:17:41 (читать в оригинале)

 

The Linear Regression Channels Hourly Chart reveals that the EUR/USD pair has been bullish since the last week and currently is moving within the almost identical bullish channels depicted on the chart.
Today during earlier hours, the EUR/USD pair managed to break down the lower limit of the Yellow, Blue & Violet channels around 1.2325 allowing the pair to make bearish swing towards 1.2222 quickly.
Around 1.2240, there's an Intraday Support Level corresponding to previous bottom that was formed on Friday. On the other side, there is a possible Head & Shoulders reversal pattern being formed with its neck line located at almost the same price level.
Price level around 1.2325 will be a good SELL entry as it corresponds to the backside of the broken channels and the location of the expected right shoulder of the H&S pattern.
A break through 1.2395 invalidates the bearish scenario for the current time.

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USD/CAD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for July 30, 2012

2012-07-30 17:13:35 (читать в оригинале)

 

Since June 4, the USD/CAD pair movement is maintained within the mid-term slightly bearish depicted channel with its upper limit located around 1.0245.
Fibonacci level 50% is located at the price level of 1.0120 and 61.8% is located at 1.0045 which are considered to be strong support levels. However, 1.0120 (50% Fibonacci) has been broken down today after finding bearish rejection off the upper limit of the consolidation zone around 1.0230.
For two consecutive times, USD/CAD has been trapped within a narrow ranged price zone between 1.0170 -1.0230, the upper limit of which prevented further upside movement of the pair showing bearish price action which pushed the pair to the downside breaking down the lower limit of the consolidation range, the same price action took place on Wednesday towards 1.0230 pushing the USD/CAD pair towards 1.0170 which was broken down opening the way towards 1.0085 then 1.0045 as expected.
Price zone between 1.0045 -1.0015 corresponding to the 61.8% Fibonacci & the lower limit of the mid-term bearish channel should be carefully watched while being tested now for bullish price action.
4H closure back again above 1.0045 brings bullish strength into the market allowing bullish retracement to take place towards 1.0070, 1.0120 then 1.0150.
Bearish breakdown of 0.9950 invalidates the bullish scenario in short-term.

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GBP/JPY Technical Levels and Trading Recommendations for July 30, 2012

2012-07-30 16:23:35 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Overview

 

Proceeding from today's H4 chart, the pair takes a downward move after its rebound from the Resistance level 123.75. Presently the pair is testing the Support level 122.95 and trying to break it through to continue its bearish move. Given that the pair manages to break this Support level and closes 4H below, we will receive a strong indicator for more bearish signals which enable the Support level 122.60 as a level target. Then we should wait for breaking this Support level to continue the downward move and open the way towards the Support level 122.00.
On the other hand, if the pair fails to break the Support level 122.95 and bounces from it, the pair may reverse its bearish move taking an upward move enabling the Resistance level 123.75. Then we should wait for breaking this Resistance level to provide new bullish signals. In case the pair is able to break the Resistance level and close 4H above, we will get a bullish strength providing new buy signals enabling the Resistance level 124.25 as a level target. Based on the given H4 chart, the technical indicators provide sell signals, but as long as the Support level 122.95 is unbroken, the upward move is still expected invalidating the bearish outlook.

Resistance and Support Levels

R3(124.75)
R2(124.25)
R1(123.75)

S1(122.95)
S2(122.60)
S3(122.00)

Trading Recommendations

According to previous analysis, we recommend selling after breaking the Support level 122.95 and closing 4H below with TP 122.65; SL closing 4 hours above the Support level will be appropriate.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com