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EUR/JPY - Elliott Wave Analysis for September 19 - 2012

2012-09-19 11:14:30 (читать в оригинале)

 

 

Today's Support and Resistance Levels:

S1: 102.40                    R1: 102.89

S2: 102.18                    R2: 103.21

S3: 101.67                    R3: 103.85

 

Technical Overview:  

We are looking for a shallow but complex correction in black wave 4. Ideally, this correction will not break below the mid-line of the base channel, which at this point is located at 100.61, but even if it does break, it will not do any serious damage to the overall impulsive wave count from 94.09. A break below the base channel mid-line will open for a slightly deeper correction towards 100.16 but let's try to track the correction as it unfolds.

As we said yesterday, we expect this black wave four to be complex by nature and therefore, it is best to left it alone while it is unfolding because anything can happen during the correction. The only guide line we have is that we should expect a shallow but complex correction, because black wave two was a simple but deep zig-zag correction, and due to R.N. Elliott alternation principle wave 2 and 4 should be of different character.

 

Trading Recommendation:

We will trade this correction with the utmost care as anything can happen. We will try to place a EUR sell order at 103.35 with a 103.90 stop and take profit at 100.75

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Sell Bellow 1.63 for September 18, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-18 19:50:31 (читать в оригинале)

 

The British Pound is more stable now, although it is influenced by an upward force. Given that many pairs may take significant corrections during the next few days, there is a correction of key level towards 1.60. Taking into consideration the opportunity we have against the actual uptrend, we recommend selling at support level of 1.6035. as the stop loss will place it above the highest recorded level of 1.63 fractal. The last candlestick is showing an imminent correction in the price of the pound. Indicators are showing overbought levels.

 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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EUR/USD Technical Correction for September 18, 2012 (Daily Strategy)

2012-09-18 19:10:22 (читать в оригинале)

The EUR/USD shows a correction we had expected; right now it is trading at the daily support level of 1.3270 resistance level and was very strong due to the attempt to break on two occasions. It is possible to continue its correction for next few days until the 1.2920 fractal, which coincides with the retracement level of 23.6% Fibonacci lines. We recommend buying at this level, with objectives at 1.3170. A close below 1.29 will start a longer bearish sequence.
Trend indicators together with MACD are showing overbought levels.
 

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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Fundamental Analysis, for September 18, 2012

2012-09-18 19:07:42 (читать в оригинале)

 

The U.S. dollar currency pairs continue following correction which is favorable to the dollar after the leading currencies experienced rally in recent days.
Only the Australian dollar seems to demonstrate a more sustainable downward path after the report of the Reserve Bank of Australia in the early hours, which left the door open to an interest rate cut in the coming months. The Australian economy, with strong fundamentals, has a weak spot as it depends on China, its main market. The slowdown of the Asian giant in recent periods added more tension in terms of diplomacy with its neighbor Japan which has increased uncertainty in Australia, and this explains the sharp decline of the Aussie.
The euro has fixed at 1.3020 against the dollar, and the break of this level, which is unlikely for now, could change the upward course of the single currency. The pound is much more stable and has a high probability of rising in the coming hours.
Meanwhile, the yen remains unchanged, lateralized to the dollar and generating small sharp movements in the crosses with the euro and the sterling, lately much broader than the yen rallies.
The Canadian dollar and the Mexican peso are without significant changes, according to oil, which suffered on this eve from a sharp decline, like other commodities.

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com

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GBP/USD Intraday Technical Analysis and Trading Recommendations for September 18, 2012

2012-09-18 16:26:53 (читать в оригинале)

The GBPUSD pair continued its bullish movement last week recording a high at 1.6254. However, yesteray's daily candlestick failed to close above Friday candlestick's high.

As seen on the daily chart above, the price broke through a long-term trend line resistance suggesting a further bullish scenario at least towards 1.6315 corresponding to 78.6% Fibonacci.

The view remains bullish in short-term testing 1.6300 – 1.6350 zone.

Support: 1.6200, 1.6180, 1.6150, 1.6125, 1.6075.

Resistance: 1.6250, 1.6285, 1.6300, 1.6350, 1.6390.

Intraday support is seen around 1.6160. However, an obvious break below that level could lead price to neutral zone in nearest term testing 1.6130-1.6050, while a longer-term support is seen around price level 1.5920 (50% Fibonacci Level).

The material has been provided by Instaforex Company - instaforex.com